Euroleague · resolved market
Anadolu Efes vs. BC Dubai
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x297a3c9b80c9ee02b512c242c0f7e94b5a9b774056f4cbca003a69e30ac5057e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BC Dubaiof Anadolu Efes, BC Dubai
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Anadolu Efes | 74c | 59,355$44,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,099.23 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked BC Dubai | 25c | 41,765$10,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,159.06 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…28bdbacked BC Dubai | 33c | 8,030$2,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,354.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed BC Dubai | 26c | 5,208$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,873.98 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked BC Dubai | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,749.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…6382backed BC Dubai | 34c | 2,955$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +149.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Anadolu Efes | 66c | 2,953$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Anadolu Efes | 74c | 2,710$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed BC Dubai | 58c | 1,224$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.85 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Anadolu Efes | 66c | 1,158$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5204…1ca0backed BC Dubai | 47c | 852.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.97 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed BC Dubai | 35c | 823.57$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.38 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Anadolu Efes | 57c | 791.03$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.86 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked BC Dubai | 27c | 782.43$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.88 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Anadolu Efes | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked BC Dubai | 26c | 755$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed BC Dubai | 30c | 745.54$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.98 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked BC Dubai | 28c | 562.64$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.76 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…0f54backed BC Dubai | 33c | 545.82$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.7 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Anadolu Efes | 41c | 543.16$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.37 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked BC Dubai | 68c | 538.57$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.1 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Anadolu Efes | 72c | 512.28$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.84 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Anadolu Efes | 46c | 476.78$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed BC Dubai | 54c | 386.17$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.56 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Anadolu Efes | 68c | 377.94$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed BC Dubai | 31c | 339.38$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.65 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed BC Dubai | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed BC Dubai | 52c | 261.07$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.29 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…2f9cbacked Anadolu Efes | 55c | 230$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.3 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Anadolu Efes | 25c | 225.16$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2b…a74cbacked Anadolu Efes | 71c | 210.6$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked BC Dubai | 68c | 182.9$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BC Dubai | 30c | 167.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.25 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed BC Dubai | 30c | 166.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.88 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Anadolu Efes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked BC Dubai | 24c | 149.52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.39 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Anadolu Efes | 68c | 144.17$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x522e…ad88backed Anadolu Efes | 74c | 131.9$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed BC Dubai | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.21 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Anadolu Efes | 52c | 122.54$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.95 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb221…5c19backed BC Dubai | 30c | 100.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed BC Dubai | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed BC Dubai | 29c | 93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.77per pick | 24cpaid | +350.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked BC Dubai | 24c | 83.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5027…1a6fbacked BC Dubai | 26c | 80.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Anadolu Efes | 44c | 70.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed BC Dubai | 32c | 58.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe490…8e6cbacked BC Dubai | 42c | 57.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea9…10febacked BC Dubai | 27c | 56.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed BC Dubai | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed BC Dubai | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Anadolu Efes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd4…ea9abacked BC Dubai | 34c | 44.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +196.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Anadolu Efes | 52c | 43.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd24d…3ab5backed Anadolu Efes | 66c | 38.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Anadolu Efes | 67c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2664…53f8backed Anadolu Efes | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8f…3186backed Anadolu Efes | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb91…f766backed Anadolu Efes | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x439f…bdedbacked Anadolu Efes | 70c | 35.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed Anadolu Efes | 70c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed BC Dubai | 53c | 34.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…f9b4backed Anadolu Efes | 72c | 32.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked BC Dubai | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…a3d3backed Anadolu Efes | 71c | 29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed Anadolu Efes | 71c | 29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…c77bbacked Anadolu Efes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dea…26d5backed Anadolu Efes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed Anadolu Efes | 69c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaadd…637dbacked Anadolu Efes | 68c | 18.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.