Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe5ae790aeb366e955d54caf79924891b3628289e9f2369d89fd3f0e1706513b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zverevof Zverev, Cobolli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9301…bf02backed Zverev | 44c | 7,448$3,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,171.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Zverev | 39c | 4,942$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,024.22 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…5ce3backed Cobolli | 56c | 4,164$2,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,326.83 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cobolli | 56c | 3,231$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.22 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Cobolli | 64c | 3,146$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.7 | 300 | 56.7%170 W · 130 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Cobolli | 61c | 2,242$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…af57backed Cobolli | 61c | 1,607$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Cobolli | 57c | 1,339$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161b…acc2backed Zverev | 47c | 1,216$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.45 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked Zverev | 48c | 1,121$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.4 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3111backed Zverev | 43c | 1,100$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Zverev | 39c | 928.44$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.37 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Zverev | 34c | 869.49$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.57 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Zverev | 40c | 528.7$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.22 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Zverev | 41c | 507.93$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.6 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Cobolli | 57c | 507.47$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 325 | 54.2%176 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Cobolli | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed Cobolli | 60c | 481.08$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Cobolli | 62c | 467.82$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…0d22backed Cobolli | 60c | 326.27$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Cobolli | 59c | 310.33$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.99 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Zverev | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cobolli | 22c | 257.64$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.79 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Zverev | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Zverev | 42c | 239.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.79 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Zverev | 43c | 230$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.1 | 247 | 47.4%117 W · 130 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…6679backed Zverev | 47c | 213.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.83 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cobolli | 45c | 211.17$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.03 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Zverev | 42c | 200$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked Cobolli | 57c | 191.38$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Cobolli | 61c | 181.97$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Zverev | 44c | 170.86$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.86 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Zverev | 44c | 170.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.45 | 211 | 49.8%105 W · 106 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa684…ca71backed Cobolli | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…e0cdbacked Cobolli | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Cobolli | 61c | 159.02$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Zverev | 41c | 145.63$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.92 | 248 | 56.9%141 W · 107 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Cobolli | 56c | 125.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 416 | 44.5%185 W · 231 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Cobolli | 9c | 120.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Zverev | 44c | 113.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.04 | 324 | 48.1%156 W · 168 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Cobolli | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…43e2backed Zverev | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 185 | 41.1%76 W · 109 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Cobolli | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 361 | 61.8%223 W · 138 L | +41.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Zverev | 77c | 90.62$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Zverev | 13c | 81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.47 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Cobolli | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c13…ef2ebacked Zverev | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Cobolli | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Cobolli | 57c | 52.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 267 | 59.6%159 W · 108 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed Cobolli | 61c | 50.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Cobolli | 47c | 42.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18b…51b9backed Cobolli | 60c | 40.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Cobolli | 60c | 36.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 308 | 60.1%185 W · 123 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Cobolli | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Cobolli | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 348 | 51.1%178 W · 170 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Cobolli | 56c | 30.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Zverev | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Zverev | 44c | 29.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c3…75abbacked Cobolli | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Cobolli | 46c | 24.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Zverev | 42c | 23.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | -74.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x246d…c74dbacked Cobolli | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 180 | 53.9%97 W · 83 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Zverev | 68c | 15.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 243 | 40.3%98 W · 145 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)this page
- Cobolli vs. Zverev: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Cobolli vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Cobolli vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Madrid Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev won
- Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs ZverevZverev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.