Tennis · resolved market
Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Matteo Arnaldi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35f1da678bf59809fe0a287f3e4c4f9354570d5580b18cf777d300e78a72d96d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matteo Arnaldiof Hubert Hurkacz, Matteo Arnaldi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $160,830
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $187,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,830 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Hubert Hurkacz | 55c | 18,461$10,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,133.76 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b9…ff15backed Hubert Hurkacz | 72c | 15,850$11,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,456.94 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 52c | 12,708$6,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,155.1 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Matteo Arnaldi | 66c | 12,393$8,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,175.21 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Matteo Arnaldi | 60c | 11,472$6,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,610.48 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 28c | 8,237$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,943.36 | 283 | 38.9%110 W · 173 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Matteo Arnaldi | 28c | 7,000$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,075 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Matteo Arnaldi | 27c | 6,405$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,675.66 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Hubert Hurkacz | 71c | 6,053$4,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,297.71 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Matteo Arnaldi | 29c | 5,934$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,212.8 | 407 | 48.9%199 W · 208 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 68c | 5,453$3,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.4 | 543 | 45.3%246 W · 297 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f75…af7ebacked Hubert Hurkacz | 74c | 4,754$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Hubert Hurkacz | 50c | 4,631$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e26…e4d1backed Hubert Hurkacz | 10c | 4,000$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.1 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…4463backed Hubert Hurkacz | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.99 | 274 | 31.8%87 W · 187 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18e1…5916backed Hubert Hurkacz | 56c | 2,857$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.92 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Hubert Hurkacz | 73c | 2,740$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | -27.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Matteo Arnaldi | 64c | 2,640$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.72 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Matteo Arnaldi | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.02 | 330 | 37.3%123 W · 207 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 28c | 2,204$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.06 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 57c | 1,837$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.25 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Matteo Arnaldi | 50c | 1,791$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.93 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…83c7backed Matteo Arnaldi | 64c | 1,709$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.92 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Matteo Arnaldi | 57c | 1,671$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.05 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Hubert Hurkacz | 70c | 1,510$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.07 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…8020backed Matteo Arnaldi | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.13 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…8ba9backed Matteo Arnaldi | 27c | 1,445$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.06 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde27…2cfdbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 49c | 1,445$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.45 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…3c52backed Matteo Arnaldi | 26c | 1,200$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Matteo Arnaldi | 51c | 1,091$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.58 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Matteo Arnaldi | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.43 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Matteo Arnaldi | 26c | 1,014$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.98 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Matteo Arnaldi | 68c | 886.99$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.99 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Matteo Arnaldi | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Hubert Hurkacz | 42c | 774.01$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.2 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Matteo Arnaldi | 28c | 772.98$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.55 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.23 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…a62ebacked Hubert Hurkacz | 73c | 753.42$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…0004backed Hubert Hurkacz | 73c | 700$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e81…a0e9backed Hubert Hurkacz | 35c | 690$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.45 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 63c | 635.1$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.1 | 228 | 56.1%128 W · 100 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5732…9030backed Hubert Hurkacz | 65c | 600.69$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.19 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Hubert Hurkacz | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Hubert Hurkacz | 73c | 549.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd392…2651backed Matteo Arnaldi | 57c | 530.08$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.08 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf516…4c5abacked Matteo Arnaldi | 73c | 519.8$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.8 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 27c | 507$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.11 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc829…cad3backed Matteo Arnaldi | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Matteo Arnaldi | 26c | 496.78$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.93 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Hubert Hurkacz | 73c | 495.78$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.38 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Hubert Hurkacz | 42c | 476.98$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.43 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Matteo Arnaldi | 33c | 473.37$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 436 | 47.2%206 W · 230 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 27c | 467.34$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.43 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a81…7debbacked Hubert Hurkacz | 75c | 441.23$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 145 | 64.1%93 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7713…daf0backed Hubert Hurkacz | 28c | 438.85$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.28 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Hubert Hurkacz | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Hubert Hurkacz | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 310 | 39.4%122 W · 188 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Matteo Arnaldi | 45c | 392$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.91 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Hubert Hurkacz | 50c | 378.1$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6712…a95bbacked Hubert Hurkacz | 68c | 352.94$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…eda7backed Matteo Arnaldi | 28c | 351.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.19 | 418 | 46.2%193 W · 225 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Hubert Hurkacz | 63c | 350$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.86 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…273ebacked Hubert Hurkacz | 71c | 350$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.5 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7454…57f2backed Hubert Hurkacz | 71c | 346.54$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.56 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Matteo Arnaldi | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 481 | 44.5%214 W · 267 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6a…1ddbbacked Hubert Hurkacz | 33c | 303$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…72f2backed Hubert Hurkacz | 13c | 301.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 199 | 26.6%53 W · 146 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Matteo Arnaldi | 27c | 300.01$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Hubert Hurkacz | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…13f4backed Matteo Arnaldi | 67c | 297.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.37 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Hubert Hurkacz | 69c | 288.41$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Matteo Arnaldi | 58c | 272.63$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.85 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ff…3214backed Hubert Hurkacz | 21c | 267.59$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 384 | 22.4%86 W · 298 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Matteo Arnaldi | 28c | 251.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.22 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ab…13a1backed Hubert Hurkacz | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Hubert Hurkacz | 65c | 250$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.45 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Matteo Arnaldi | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Matteo Arnaldi | 48c | 239.01$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.49 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d0…a663backed Hubert Hurkacz | 73c | 201.37$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcae…fe45backed Matteo Arnaldi | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Hubert Hurkacz | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Matteo Arnaldi | 67c | 198.46$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.49 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Hubert Hurkacz | 13c | 186.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 483 | 31.1%150 W · 333 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac39…95c7backed Matteo Arnaldi | 29c | 180.51$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.51 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Matteo Arnaldi | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Hubert Hurkacz | 34c | 174.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 599 | 65.8%394 W · 205 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Hubert Hurkacz | 67c | 170.34$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 601 | 58.6%352 W · 249 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Matteo Arnaldi | 45c | 157.64$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.66 | 283 | 48.4%137 W · 146 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Hubert Hurkacz | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.15 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…6c9fbacked Hubert Hurkacz | 71c | 150$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 26c | 150$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…f152backed Matteo Arnaldi | 69c | 145.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd030…2133backed Hubert Hurkacz | 35c | 143.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | -9.2wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -50%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Hubert Hurkacz | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 838 | 23.2%194 W · 644 L | -58.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa21e…2a11backed Hubert Hurkacz | 72c | 140$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…af57backed Matteo Arnaldi | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Hubert Hurkacz | 30c | 136.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Matteo Arnaldi | 57c | 127.67$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.43 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Matteo Arnaldi | 61c | 120.81$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Matteo Arnaldi | 28c | 120.68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.89 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Matteo Arnaldithis page
- Hurkacz vs. Arnaldi: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Hurkacz vs. Arnaldi: Match O/U 22.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.