Fifa International · resolved market
Sudan vs. Burkina Faso: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fb5d6d63f061c58803548538ae96ca5e62a5b033543bf48282f61f6b1cae1a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 36c | 7,473$2,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,693.6 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 5,249$3,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.55 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…8138backed No | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 59c | 379.58$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.63 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 40c | 363.15$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.26 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…af57backed Yes | 41c | 309.61$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.94 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 60c | 268.15$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.26 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 43c | 215.08$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.42 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…6ca2backed Yes | 40c | 149.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…8cbdbacked No | 65c | 121.22$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c21…6ce6backed Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…a2cebacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked No | 62c | 67.64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +57%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked Yes | 36c | 40.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 40c | 37.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed No | 64c | 30.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked No | 52c | 23.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 59c | 17.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sudan vs. Burkina Faso: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Sudan vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sudan vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sudan vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sudan vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.