Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Baptiste (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7487fae370b3ea61cbe582072248c5f770fdaeeb05c92d887691f4388be08a4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andreevaof Andreeva, Baptiste
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Andreeva | 40c | 5,955$2,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,546.84 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Baptiste | 58c | 4,385$2,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,542.69 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Baptiste | 61c | 3,473$2,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,107.92 | 572 | 49.5%283 W · 289 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Andreeva | 41c | 2,069$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.85 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Baptiste | 58c | 1,625$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.58 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Baptiste | 59c | 1,230$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.35 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…af57backed Baptiste | 60c | 889.22$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd456…aba4backed Baptiste | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af7…2381backed Baptiste | 57c | 774.08$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Andreeva | 41c | 700$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Andreeva | 40c | 699.98$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.99 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8227…0bccbacked Baptiste | 58c | 430$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.4 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Baptiste | 48c | 405.43$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.17 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Andreeva | 43c | 389.47$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.95 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Baptiste | 59c | 372.88$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 153 | 37.9%58 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Andreeva | 42c | 361.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.24 | 222 | 52.3%116 W · 106 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Andreeva | 42c | 299.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Andreeva | 41c | 299.81$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.88 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Baptiste | 60c | 285.55$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Baptiste | 58c | 279.99$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…13f4backed Baptiste | 59c | 271.19$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…6679backed Andreeva | 48c | 208.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.37 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50aa…0003backed Baptiste | 55c | 204.11$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Andreeva | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Andreeva | 42c | 191.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.18 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6974…11b4backed Baptiste | 59c | 189.6$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.61 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…cd4ebacked Baptiste | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…eda7backed Baptiste | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 418 | 46.2%193 W · 225 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Baptiste | 58c | 170$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Andreeva | 42c | 170$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…271cbacked Baptiste | 59c | 164.95$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.32 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Andreeva | 43c | 125.44$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Andreeva | 42c | 119.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.33 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d05…ef4abacked Andreeva | 67c | 112.3$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.06 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Andreeva | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked Baptiste | 61c | 90.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d0b9backed Andreeva | 46c | 89.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.39 | 707 | 29.1%206 W · 501 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…bb1dbacked Baptiste | 58c | 84.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x163b…08debacked Baptiste | 25c | 64.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Baptiste | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 267 | 59.6%159 W · 108 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Baptiste | 56c | 47.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 416 | 44.5%185 W · 231 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Andreeva | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed Baptiste | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 58.2%78 W · 56 L | +11.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Andreeva | 63c | 31.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Andreeva | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5844…12e2backed Baptiste | 59c | 27.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Andreeva | 43c | 25.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Baptiste (+1.5)this page
- Baptiste vs. Andreeva: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Baptiste vs. Andreeva: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Hailey Baptiste vs. Mirra Andreeva: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Mirra AndreevaMirra Andreeva won
- Set 1 Winner: Baptiste vs AndreevaAndreeva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.