Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Baptiste vs Andreeva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeebfc1a2079b782c2290e84319dc79ba102fe7c85b8ff5d270bde3b8f5fac6bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andreevaof Baptiste, Andreeva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Andreeva | 63c | 775.28$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.28 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Baptiste | 36c | 465.67$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.02 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…abeabacked Andreeva | 68c | 428.98$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Baptiste | 40c | 378.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 512 | 36.5%187 W · 325 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Andreeva | 59c | 348.98$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.25 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Baptiste | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9961…edcfbacked Baptiste | 40c | 248.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Baptiste | 46c | 185.33$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.25 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Baptiste | 39c | 179.13$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.46 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20cb…d211backed Andreeva | 62c | 161.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Andreeva | 63c | 143.65$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.65 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Andreeva | 61c | 140$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.7 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…b336backed Baptiste | 42c | 104.76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 103 | 55.3%57 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Baptiste | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 710 | 21.3%151 W · 559 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…def7backed Baptiste | 41c | 49.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Baptiste | 45c | 40.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…90a3backed Baptiste | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 488 | 52.9%258 W · 230 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Andreeva | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 242 | 59.9%145 W · 97 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Andreeva | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4739…a1c1backed Andreeva | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 226 | 42%95 W · 131 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Baptiste vs Andreevathis page
- Baptiste vs. Andreeva: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Baptiste vs. Andreeva: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Hailey Baptiste vs. Mirra Andreeva: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Mirra AndreevaMirra Andreeva won
- Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Baptiste (+1.5)Andreeva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.