Tennis · resolved market
Baptiste vs. Andreeva: Match O/U 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5545c895e46efb71c4a07a52213537d0eb2f2116bf32134431bf576b2e71d69b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Over | 53c | 5,469$2,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,547.1 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 4,323$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,056.68 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Over | 53c | 2,225$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.06 | 572 | 49.5%283 W · 289 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 1,162$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.61 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 42c | 800$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Over | 54c | 540.44$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.44 | 179 | 55.9%100 W · 79 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 52c | 482.69$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.69 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Under | 49c | 461.75$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.56 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 45c | 423.47$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.56 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 49c | 336.48$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.18 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under | 48c | 300$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Under | 42c | 249.94$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.97 | 243 | 40.3%98 W · 145 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 46c | 229.46$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.55 | 236 | 53.4%126 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 38c | 180$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…13f4backed Under | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Under | 56c | 161.73$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Over | 55c | 151.03$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.26 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 48c | 139.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.8 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed Over | 52c | 116.04$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.04 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0806…4adabacked Over | 52c | 112.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…271cbacked Under | 46c | 110.48$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…6d3cbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Under | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 211 | 49.8%105 W · 106 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 47c | 66.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 49c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Under | 46c | 43.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 153 | 37.9%58 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 58.2%78 W · 56 L | +11.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Over | 58c | 40.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…d6f5backed Over | 51c | 37.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…90a3backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 488 | 52.9%258 W · 230 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f1…1395backed Over | 55c | 23.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 70cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baptiste vs. Andreeva: Match O/U 21.5this page
- Baptiste vs. Andreeva: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Hailey Baptiste vs. Mirra Andreeva: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Mirra AndreevaMirra Andreeva won
- Set 1 Winner: Baptiste vs AndreevaAndreeva won
- Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Baptiste (+1.5)Andreeva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.