Tennis · resolved market
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sorana Cirstea
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc3782e7dbf01c17f92448fee1577c8611ea36ccf1876d70d85d4ee8fce8b695
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sorana Cirsteaof Aryna Sabalenka, Sorana Cirstea
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $752,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $740,686
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $752,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 380 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Sorana Cirstea | 2c | 50,573$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,561.02 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Sorana Cirstea | 21c | 49,077$10,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,945.29 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sorana Cirstea | 34c | 37,364$12,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,724.57 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Sorana Cirstea | 17c | 33,586$5,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,810.45 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Sorana Cirstea | 19c | 26,300$4,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,427.14 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4d…8525backed Aryna Sabalenka | 64c | 22,349$14,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,297.81 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Aryna Sabalenka | 55c | 18,568$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Sorana Cirstea | 34c | 17,462$6,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,438.57 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe6…8192backed Sorana Cirstea | 9c | 14,694$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,300.23 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sorana Cirstea | 16c | 14,391$2,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,102.41 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sorana Cirstea | 48c | 13,680$6,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,153.78 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Aryna Sabalenka | 53c | 13,117$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.94 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Sorana Cirstea | 14c | 8,701$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,513.02 | 183 | 15.8%29 W · 154 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Aryna Sabalenka | 67c | 8,500$5,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,673.84 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 56c | 7,978$4,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,444.12 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Aryna Sabalenka | 78c | 7,173$5,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,569.59 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Aryna Sabalenka | 28c | 6,960$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.62 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5eb…93bfbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 72c | 6,936$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -7.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed Sorana Cirstea | 43c | 5,300$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,022.99 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 47c | 5,139$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Sorana Cirstea | 39c | 5,110$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,104.66 | 661 | 39.3%260 W · 401 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Sorana Cirstea | 35c | 5,090$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,310 | 453 | 43.9%199 W · 254 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Aryna Sabalenka | 40c | 4,500$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 477 | 28.1%134 W · 343 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 41c | 4,230$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.29 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Sorana Cirstea | 22c | 4,086$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,171.34 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd81…4a5cbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 71c | 3,624$2,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,556.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 67cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…5ec9backed Aryna Sabalenka | 29c | 3,199$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.82 | 440 | 18.9%83 W · 357 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3a…eb16backed Sorana Cirstea | 14c | 3,165$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,721.96 | 73 | 20.5%15 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Sorana Cirstea | 14c | 3,156$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,714.5 | 216 | 38%82 W · 134 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Sorana Cirstea | 37c | 3,134$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967.56 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Aryna Sabalenka | 24c | 3,062$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.02 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 64c | 3,062$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.46 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Aryna Sabalenka | 33c | 3,033$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Aryna Sabalenka | 68c | 2,960$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Sorana Cirstea | 13c | 2,867$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,481.55 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…44a6backed Aryna Sabalenka | 35c | 2,850$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 212 | 44.3%94 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 79c | 2,837$2,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,253.52 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Sorana Cirstea | 56c | 2,835$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.01 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Aryna Sabalenka | 56c | 2,680$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed99…2677backed Sorana Cirstea | 42c | 2,654$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.51 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 53c | 2,483$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.2 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Sorana Cirstea | 14c | 2,300$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978.01 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Aryna Sabalenka | 53c | 2,267$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.15 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Sorana Cirstea | 14c | 2,218$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,907.49 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Aryna Sabalenka | 63c | 2,069$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Sorana Cirstea | 13c | 2,058$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.45 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…8ed4backed Aryna Sabalenka | 35c | 2,023$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.67 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sorana Cirstea | 12c | 1,958$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.09 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Sorana Cirstea | 13c | 1,836$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.39 | 193 | 39.4%76 W · 117 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…46c8backed Sorana Cirstea | 12c | 1,836$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.5 | 228 | 21.1%48 W · 180 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 47c | 1,727$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.73 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0960…5adcbacked Sorana Cirstea | 15c | 1,667$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.67 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d6…f1e2backed Aryna Sabalenka | 36c | 1,600$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -10.3wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Aryna Sabalenka | 32c | 1,589$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.58 | 302 | 35.4%107 W · 195 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c77…2c45backed Aryna Sabalenka | 65c | 1,545$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fd…372abacked Aryna Sabalenka | 43c | 1,500$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…85d4backed Aryna Sabalenka | 42c | 1,500$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.99 | 268 | 33.6%90 W · 178 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked Aryna Sabalenka | 30c | 1,490$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Sorana Cirstea | 65c | 1,484$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.44 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…4b25backed Aryna Sabalenka | 4c | 1,449$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Aryna Sabalenka | 55c | 1,426$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.36 | 307 | 41.7%128 W · 179 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Sorana Cirstea | 13c | 1,383$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.83 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Sorana Cirstea | 18c | 1,381$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.59 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Aryna Sabalenka | 65c | 1,350$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.36 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…7c92backed Aryna Sabalenka | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Aryna Sabalenka | 25c | 1,326$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.49 | 52 | 5.8%3 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Sorana Cirstea | 63c | 1,321$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.73 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fc…03b0backed Aryna Sabalenka | 19c | 1,299$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Sorana Cirstea | 14c | 1,286$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.39 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Sorana Cirstea | 39c | 1,285$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.92 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Sorana Cirstea | 39c | 1,238$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.31 | 330 | 37.3%123 W · 207 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…2453backed Aryna Sabalenka | 34c | 1,176$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Sorana Cirstea | 9c | 1,113$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.5 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Sorana Cirstea | 15c | 1,106$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.73 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Aryna Sabalenka | 64c | 1,100$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.1 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sorana Cirstea | 15c | 1,061$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.16 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Aryna Sabalenka | 35c | 1,000$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.98 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Sorana Cirstea | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0e…1461backed Aryna Sabalenka | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.58 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Sorana Cirstea | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 171 | 49.1%84 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked Aryna Sabalenka | 24c | 999.98$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 394 | 38.1%150 W · 244 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Sorana Cirstea | 15c | 990.49$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.83 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Sorana Cirstea | 33c | 988.22$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.27 | 433 | 53.6%232 W · 201 L | +32.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Sorana Cirstea | 14c | 983$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.38 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Aryna Sabalenka | 59c | 932.63$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.98 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…90e6backed Aryna Sabalenka | 57c | 922.98$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.48 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…f152backed Aryna Sabalenka | 77c | 912.21$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd3…fed4backed Aryna Sabalenka | 69c | 907.29$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sorana Cirstea | 30c | 898$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.6 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f9…feafbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 25c | 884.5$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.8 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Aryna Sabalenka | 34c | 882.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Aryna Sabalenka | 47c | 868.17$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34eb…eabbbacked Sorana Cirstea | 74c | 864.18$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe201…9c49backed Aryna Sabalenka | 17c | 858.06$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.43 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Aryna Sabalenka | 56c | 847.15$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.36 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac39…95c7backed Aryna Sabalenka | 34c | 838.76$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.53 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…7f8fbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 24c | 833.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Sorana Cirstea | 65c | 819.28$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.68 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Aryna Sabalenka | 62c | 806.81$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 327 | 63.9%209 W · 118 L | +15.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…53c9backed Aryna Sabalenka | 63c | 799.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 238 | 36.1%86 W · 152 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sorana Cirsteathis page
- Aryna Sabalenka vs. Sorana Cirstea: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Sabalenka vs. Cirstea: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Sabalenka vs CirsteaSabalenka won
- Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Cirstea (+1.5)Cirstea won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.