Tweets · resolved market
Will White House post 200+ posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ea307bea59f150f45ba56447e07f37750f47f1be25320ea03d8bbaa5b20749e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed No | 35c | 1,521$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.36 | 388 | 28.6%111 W · 277 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 69c | 1,242$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.2 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 41c | 600.56$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.16 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 43c | 478.96$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.51 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked No | 14c | 443.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.86 | 89 | 15.7%14 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 66c | 343.45$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.39 | 229 | 26.6%61 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 49c | 324.77$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.45 | 105 | 14.3%15 W · 90 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 47c | 304.1$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.02 | 503 | 19.5%98 W · 405 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 33c | 284.24$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.6 | 395 | 18.7%74 W · 321 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 74c | 280.57$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.78 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Yes | 34c | 252.13$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.32 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…567fbacked Yes | 11c | 216.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.74 | 361 | 13.3%48 W · 313 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 23c | 156.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 56c | 146.85$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.34 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…643fbacked No | 26c | 142.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 95 | 15.8%15 W · 80 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed Yes | 29c | 138.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.21 | 317 | 43.2%137 W · 180 L | +28.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…2dbbbacked Yes | 65c | 122.21$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 154 | 30.5%47 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 67c | 105.83$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…aa71backed Yes | 73c | 91.66$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +8.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 72c | 89.15$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…54cfbacked Yes | 58c | 76.7$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 412 | 20.6%85 W · 327 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067e…625bbacked No | 19c | 74.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d3…ff72backed Yes | 15c | 70.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.61 | 66 | 16.7%11 W · 55 L | -14.0wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked No | 19c | 54.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked Yes | 64c | 50.21$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b1d…8721backed Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308a…eed3backed Yes | 69c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8257…da02backed Yes | 66c | 49.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfac…490fbacked Yes | 74c | 46.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 37c | 41.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x652e…4a94backed No | 42c | 41.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 133 | 23.3%31 W · 102 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 51c | 39.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bc…ec51backed No | 28c | 38.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 160 | 23.1%37 W · 123 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 78c | 38.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 287 | 23.7%68 W · 219 L | -46.5wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -63%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2028…e658backed Yes | 79c | 37.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 34c | 36.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xacb9…0754backed Yes | 62c | 33.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked Yes | 71c | 31.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 442 | 27.4%121 W · 321 L | -21.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…f3b5backed Yes | 76c | 30.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d6…5676backed Yes | 63c | 24.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 71c | 23.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 145 | 75.9%110 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…a6fabacked Yes | 80c | 22.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc2…8c9abacked Yes | 75c | 20.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58cf…8a72backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -6.4wins | -0.19per pick | 66cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdf…40b3backed Yes | 67c | 19.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…ce6abacked Yes | 80c | 15.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will White House post 200+ posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?this page
- Will White House post 100-119 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 120-139 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.