Tweets · resolved market
Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69afb6b15730332e6b05ced0f90cbb4b0a33b22352520d5bbefdd06095c0bcc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…5c99backed Yes | 5c | 1,396$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +569.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 18c | 1,240$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.21 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed No | 75c | 949.92$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.25 | 388 | 28.6%111 W · 277 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 6c | 890.22$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.11 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 368.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 4c | 356.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcca2…6c38backed Yes | 22c | 250.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -81%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b11…5a66backed Yes | 20c | 232.93$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…567fbacked Yes | 30c | 207.92$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.46 | 361 | 13.3%48 W · 313 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…bddcbacked Yes | 37c | 153.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdca…badabacked Yes | 42c | 149.7$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.87 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b1…fa5fbacked Yes | 38c | 148.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb26d…73f7backed No | 78c | 101.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 442 | 27.4%121 W · 321 L | -21.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe183…3e16backed Yes | 15c | 91.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 29c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8257…da02backed No | 59c | 76.73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x708e…d03fbacked Yes | 18c | 76.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 80c | 67.12$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 54c | 60.66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 336 | 70.2%236 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 29c | 50.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 39c | 48.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 80c | 46.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497f…43e4backed Yes | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 39c | 42.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…645abacked No | 74c | 34.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 278 | 20.9%58 W · 220 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4978…956bbacked No | 59c | 32.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 479 | 8.6%41 W · 438 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa37a…bc60backed No | 61c | 31.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?this page
- Will White House post 100-119 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 120-139 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 200+ posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.