Tennis · resolved market
China Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Coco Gauff
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cc80031a90ba7bf55a5942f6321c7b1c5d8ee0c4b9d63d5d2e3a80a869df885
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anisimovaof Anisimova, Gauff
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Gauff | 8c | 5,733$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.69 | 206 | 53.4%110 W · 96 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Anisimova | 50c | 4,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,990 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d02…edbfbacked Gauff | 36c | 3,102$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Gauff | 52c | 2,988$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.59 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Anisimova | 72c | 2,767$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.66 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Gauff | 48c | 2,075$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.35 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Gauff | 50c | 2,045$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.5 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Anisimova | 48c | 2,000$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Anisimova | 48c | 1,745$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.32 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Gauff | 52c | 546.97$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.92 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Gauff | 5c | 514$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Gauff | 51c | 449.12$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.05 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Anisimova | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Gauff | 51c | 408.16$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.16 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Anisimova | 50c | 357.14$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.57 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49c…773ebacked Anisimova | 67c | 299.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Anisimova | 50c | 249.46$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.73 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a8…5df3backed Anisimova | 48c | 246.02$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Anisimova | 48c | 242.83$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.27 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Anisimova | 46c | 232.24$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.41 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Anisimova | 47c | 155$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.2 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Gauff | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1338…f574backed Gauff | 49c | 130.92$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.06 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Anisimova | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…26eabacked Anisimova | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Gauff | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Anisimova | 79c | 88.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Gauff | 51c | 69.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Gauff | 48c | 44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Anisimova | 45c | 38.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5a…5787backed Gauff | 51c | 36.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Gauff | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Gauff | 49c | 20.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.