CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Gentle Mates (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4024fa1dddb416150acdcb92011f0eb7dac0a27b7966bfd70894356c601c7ae9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Matesof NIP, Gentle Mates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Gentle Mates | 45c | 12,745$5,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,062.04 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d2…2280backed NIP | 56c | 8,496$4,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,758.01 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed NIP | 55c | 6,500$3,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,545 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked NIP | 50c | 6,192$3,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,112.23 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked NIP | 29c | 4,951$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.33 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Gentle Mates | 46c | 4,076$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.21 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…abd7backed NIP | 57c | 3,152$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.33 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdad2…98c6backed Gentle Mates | 62c | 3,106$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.17 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed NIP | 57c | 3,000$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.86 | 196 | 60.7%119 W · 77 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed NIP | 39c | 2,587$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.5 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488b…cc50backed NIP | 56c | 1,825$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Gentle Mates | 59c | 1,700$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.5 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Gentle Mates | 72c | 1,625$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.2 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed NIP | 56c | 1,588$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.91 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed NIP | 41c | 1,238$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.21 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked NIP | 58c | 1,102$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.64 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Gentle Mates | 44c | 1,100$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked NIP | 47c | 1,080$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.24 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed NIP | 52c | 1,063$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.88 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed NIP | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Gentle Mates | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…dab5backed Gentle Mates | 42c | 973$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.34 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed Gentle Mates | 47c | 814.99$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.75 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed NIP | 24c | 800$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Gentle Mates | 42c | 776.96$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.64 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…dc27backed Gentle Mates | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed NIP | 35c | 666$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.1 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Gentle Mates | 43c | 600$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Gentle Mates | 45c | 592.88$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.88 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Gentle Mates | 43c | 558.59$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.39 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6408…d2aebacked NIP | 53c | 544.41$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.07 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Gentle Mates | 59c | 500.01$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.83 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Gentle Mates | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Gentle Mates | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5a…7f2dbacked Gentle Mates | 43c | 415.98$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.11 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4557…4212backed Gentle Mates | 61c | 414.75$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee3…31a5backed Gentle Mates | 50c | 382.56$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c08…eba9backed NIP | 57c | 370$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.9 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Gentle Mates | 64c | 350$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.39 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed NIP | 59c | 335.67$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa97…494fbacked Gentle Mates | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1338…f574backed Gentle Mates | 45c | 248.2$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.51 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Gentle Mates | 46c | 232.61$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.61 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed Gentle Mates | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…3965backed Gentle Mates | 76c | 220$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Gentle Mates | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed NIP | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e6…53b2backed NIP | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Gentle Mates | 55c | 159.94$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.46 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Gentle Mates | 42c | 136.38$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.1 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…f72fbacked NIP | 35c | 128.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f2…da0ebacked Gentle Mates | 68c | 118.96$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -7.4wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Gentle Mates | 69c | 114$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d66…7befbacked Gentle Mates | 71c | 105.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Gentle Mates | 50c | 96.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 374 | 48.4%181 W · 193 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed NIP | 57c | 93.15$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99de…7b9bbacked NIP | 55c | 88.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Gentle Mates | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed NIP | 37c | 75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…59a5backed Gentle Mates | 68c | 74.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Gentle Mates | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e98…3e80backed Gentle Mates | 48c | 58.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1939…22e8backed Gentle Mates | 42c | 51.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…1f57backed NIP | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed NIP | 55c | 50.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 211 | 41.7%88 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81d…16bfbacked NIP | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked NIP | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3731…405fbacked Gentle Mates | 50c | 49.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…5b3cbacked Gentle Mates | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcce9…6b48backed NIP | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Gentle Mates | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed Gentle Mates | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 377 | 52%196 W · 181 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…cc67backed NIP | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…271bbacked NIP | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f4…e02fbacked NIP | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc5…197fbacked NIP | 58c | 32.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc2…4bc8backed Gentle Mates | 72c | 21.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed NIP | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.