Tennis · resolved market
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Matteo Arnaldi vs Alastair Gray
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x055d45254d6d5bdaad374a8792def9d6970c5857ee17220ab8675055c3d53953
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matteo Arnaldiof Matteo Arnaldi, Alastair Gray
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,011
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd849…6ac7backed Matteo Arnaldi | 66c | 9,842$6,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360.83 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Matteo Arnaldi | 54c | 5,558$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,558.1 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked Alastair Gray | 8c | 5,000$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Matteo Arnaldi | 74c | 4,969$3,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.27 | 639 | 56.5%361 W · 278 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Alastair Gray | 34c | 4,496$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.65 | 4,647 | 67.7%3,147 W · 1,500 L | +308.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 65c | 4,050$2,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.93 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Alastair Gray | 49c | 2,994$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.76 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Alastair Gray | 34c | 2,638$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.08 | 1,165 | 41.5%483 W · 682 L | +25.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Matteo Arnaldi | 64c | 2,331$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.39 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Alastair Gray | 23c | 2,174$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 748 | 40.9%306 W · 442 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Alastair Gray | 25c | 2,037$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.38 | 3,238 | 57.3%1,854 W · 1,384 L | +179.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Alastair Gray | 7c | 1,711$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.03 | 1,250 | 46.2%578 W · 672 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Alastair Gray | 30c | 1,611$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.79 | 1,379 | 38.4%530 W · 849 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ed…085abacked Matteo Arnaldi | 65c | 1,600$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Alastair Gray | 20c | 1,475$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d06…f79dbacked Alastair Gray | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Matteo Arnaldi | 49c | 1,334$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.24 | 5,031 | 38.5%1,939 W · 3,092 L | -20.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdf…ec9ebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 66c | 1,325$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.74 | 186 | 58.1%108 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 49c | 1,295$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.22 | 4,708 | 48.3%2,275 W · 2,433 L | +36.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fb…acbabacked Matteo Arnaldi | 67c | 1,150$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.5 | 261 | 65.1%170 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…2378backed Alastair Gray | 36c | 999.97$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Matteo Arnaldi | 66c | 983.42$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.24 | 5,075 | 41.5%2,104 W · 2,971 L | -83.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Matteo Arnaldi | 64c | 930.17$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.39 | 8,921 | 42.6%3,799 W · 5,122 L | -169.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 56c | 900$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.42 | 6,725 | 46.2%3,108 W · 3,617 L | -42.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e1dfbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 56c | 890.61$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.61 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alastair Gray | 38c | 885.99$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.61 | 9,267 | 36.2%3,352 W · 5,915 L | -199.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Matteo Arnaldi | 68c | 870.93$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.11 | 1,852 | 46.6%863 W · 989 L | +19.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Alastair Gray | 26c | 825.3$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.7 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Alastair Gray | 37c | 750.38$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.48 | 317 | 47.9%152 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Matteo Arnaldi | 69c | 719$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.46 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…bfa2backed Matteo Arnaldi | 67c | 697.18$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.07 | 335 | 40.9%137 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6c…d56cbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 67c | 680.6$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.6 | 244 | 51.6%126 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Alastair Gray | 24c | 659.28$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.75 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Alastair Gray | 33c | 644.52$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.66 | 3,397 | 48.6%1,652 W · 1,745 L | -47.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5e…b4afbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 65c | 637.31$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.21 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Alastair Gray | 33c | 606.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5,377 | 28.9%1,553 W · 3,824 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Alastair Gray | 33c | 599.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 7,157 | 39.8%2,848 W · 4,309 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Alastair Gray | 48c | 580.19$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.29 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Alastair Gray | 18c | 549.28$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.66 | 5,486 | 56.3%3,088 W · 2,398 L | +232.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Alastair Gray | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 548 | 47.8%262 W · 286 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Alastair Gray | 35c | 521.51$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.53 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Alastair Gray | 34c | 506.4$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.78 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…1eb3backed Alastair Gray | 33c | 484.85$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 179 | 41.3%74 W · 105 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 67c | 440$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.2 | 652 | 65.8%429 W · 223 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Matteo Arnaldi | 52c | 438.52$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.54 | 514 | 45.5%234 W · 280 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1338…f574backed Alastair Gray | 48c | 417.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Alastair Gray | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,034 | 50.2%519 W · 515 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Matteo Arnaldi | 65c | 411$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.8 | 1,229 | 53.1%653 W · 576 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 67c | 402.47$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.66 | 357 | 55.5%198 W · 159 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Alastair Gray | 33c | 395.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.96 | 1,004 | 49.5%497 W · 507 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Alastair Gray | 19c | 390.28$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.53 | 1,927 | 55.4%1,068 W · 859 L | -43.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Alastair Gray | 21c | 379.88$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.61 | 1,012 | 39.1%396 W · 616 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Alastair Gray | 33c | 348$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.84 | 2,255 | 37.1%836 W · 1,419 L | +43.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…9256backed Alastair Gray | 15c | 338.88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 262 | 48.1%126 W · 136 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 50c | 332.51$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.48 | 5,600 | 48.5%2,717 W · 2,883 L | +10.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alastair Gray | 32c | 314.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 11,877 | 43.3%5,143 W · 6,734 L | +19.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a17…910dbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 55c | 303.11$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.11 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Alastair Gray | 35c | 301.29$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.95 | 876 | 50.3%441 W · 435 L | +23.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…240cbacked Alastair Gray | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bd…0ce0backed Matteo Arnaldi | 69c | 291.77$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.45 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Matteo Arnaldi | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 1,872 | 48.2%902 W · 970 L | -36.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 64c | 289.3$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.11 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Alastair Gray | 29c | 288.9$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.86 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Alastair Gray | 46c | 287.21$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.41 | 2,925 | 39.6%1,158 W · 1,767 L | -85.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Matteo Arnaldi | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 692 | 39.5%273 W · 419 L | -28.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x104f…04aabacked Alastair Gray | 36c | 274.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 261 | 34.1%89 W · 172 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Matteo Arnaldi | 67c | 268.66$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.66 | 539 | 55.5%299 W · 240 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcda7…d089backed Alastair Gray | 20c | 265$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 64c | 254.98$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.79 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Alastair Gray | 28c | 252.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdd…db30backed Alastair Gray | 20c | 251.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 198 | 24.7%49 W · 149 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Matteo Arnaldi | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 519 | 41%213 W · 306 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Alastair Gray | 31c | 247.11$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.6 | 794 | 40.7%323 W · 471 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…0cd4backed Matteo Arnaldi | 76c | 243.86$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.38 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Alastair Gray | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1629…f46fbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Alastair Gray | 26c | 228.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.23 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Alastair Gray | 34c | 220.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.14 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa6…9361backed Matteo Arnaldi | 67c | 212.64$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Alastair Gray | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2,296 | 42.9%984 W · 1,312 L | +37.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c39…36c1backed Matteo Arnaldi | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac6…e020backed Matteo Arnaldi | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 354 | 61%216 W · 138 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Matteo Arnaldi | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Matteo Arnaldi | 63c | 191$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.67 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Alastair Gray | 14c | 181.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed0d…3646backed Alastair Gray | 20c | 178.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Matteo Arnaldi | 64c | 172.39$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.03 | 373 | 54.4%203 W · 170 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e6…9c8abacked Alastair Gray | 33c | 166.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Alastair Gray | 28c | 165.37$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 3,303 | 40.2%1,329 W · 1,974 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Alastair Gray | 28c | 161.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…f1c7backed Matteo Arnaldi | 68c | 160.32$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Alastair Gray | 21c | 160.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 6,898 | 48.9%3,374 W · 3,524 L | +61.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Matteo Arnaldi | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Alastair Gray | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 838 | 23.2%194 W · 644 L | -58.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Alastair Gray | 41c | 140.22$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Alastair Gray | 32c | 135.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 959 | 38%364 W · 595 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Alastair Gray | 35c | 134.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…75a1backed Alastair Gray | 39c | 133.89$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…1af5backed Alastair Gray | 38c | 132.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 47.8%108 W · 118 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Alastair Gray | 34c | 131$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Matteo Arnaldi vs Alastair Graythis page
- Set 1 Winner: Arnaldi vs GrayArnaldi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.