CS2 · resolved market

BLAST Open: Vitality vs. MOUZ

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfa16e9c4816ff215307cef4cade546228fbd3d9f862815c8e3ea9430eb63cdf

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Vitalityof Vitality, MOUZ
Resolved: Sep 6, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $155,874
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $187,373

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,874 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2131…aaf2backed MOUZ	34c	63,464$21,802 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,802.49	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.22per pick	38cpaid	+77.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Vitality	66c	41,000$27,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,940	608	53.3%324 W · 284 L	+20.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a05…5c62backed Vitality	65c	28,049$18,232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,817.25	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Vitality	65c	12,459$8,098 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,360.72	258	42.2%109 W · 149 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed MOUZ	35c	12,013$4,197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,197.02	228	49.6%113 W · 115 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0fd…a346backed Vitality	66c	7,464$4,926 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,537.7	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed MOUZ	34c	6,190$2,104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,104.44	238	52.9%126 W · 112 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed MOUZ	26c	5,041$1,334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,333.88	163	35%57 W · 106 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed MOUZ	35c	5,000$1,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,750	458	48.5%222 W · 236 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed MOUZ	35c	3,562$1,238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,237.63	105	38.1%40 W · 65 L	-8.5wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed MOUZ	15c	2,097$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.32	5,830	37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L	+79.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ	34c	1,800$614 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$614	1,259	42.5%535 W · 724 L	+20.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x732b…3b02backed MOUZ	42c	1,567$654 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$653.93	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd773…549ebacked Vitality	74c	1,360$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$359.67	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	-3.6wins	-0.09per pick	60cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked Vitality	67c	1,350$905 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$445.5	130	43.1%56 W · 74 L	-8.8wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Vitality	61c	1,307$791 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$515.62	1,611	45.4%731 W · 880 L	+30.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x141c…7154backed MOUZ	16c	1,180$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.25	109	33%36 W · 73 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Vitality	71c	1,071$756 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$315.45	263	51.3%135 W · 128 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd4a…048ebacked MOUZ	34c	1,000$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	40cpaid	-62.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked MOUZ	35c	1,000$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	244	40.6%99 W · 145 L	-12.4wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…61bcbacked Vitality	65c	1,000$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350	142	39.4%56 W · 86 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfeec…aa69backed Vitality	65c	1,000$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350	68	42.6%29 W · 39 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dbb…050cbacked Vitality	65c	983.66$639 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$344.28	89	56.2%50 W · 39 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Vitality	65c	888$577 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310.8	1,144	49.4%565 W · 579 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Vitality	64c	848.96$543 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305.63	216	45.4%98 W · 118 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed MOUZ	35c	800$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	218	46.8%102 W · 116 L	-9.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Vitality	66c	767.15$506 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.83	817	51.7%422 W · 395 L	-6.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa52c…ef80backed Vitality	65c	765.2$497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$267.82	86	36%31 W · 55 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2729…e171backed MOUZ	30c	676.49$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.24	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.0wins	-0.29per pick	57cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb09…0f04backed MOUZ	35c	629.43$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.3	132	23.5%31 W · 101 L	-10.5wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed Vitality	67c	625.72$419 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.49	163	49.7%81 W · 82 L	-19.7wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbc9f…45debacked Vitality	65c	603.69$392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.29	93	41.9%39 W · 54 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…5bd1backed MOUZ	13c	591.1$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.6	40	35%14 W · 26 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x868b…1eb0backed MOUZ	35c	567.29$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.08	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-6.0wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf822…093ebacked Vitality	66c	551.02$364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.35	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed MOUZ	14c	500$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	463	40.8%189 W · 274 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64b3…5411backed Vitality	66c	477.19$316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.85	65	56.9%37 W · 28 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked MOUZ	35c	458.85$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.6	82	37.8%31 W · 51 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8604…bbcabacked MOUZ	12c	450$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-3.0wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-42%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf69…b3ffbacked Vitality	66c	420$277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.8	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-6.2wins	-0.22per pick	66cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa0e8…da92backed MOUZ	29c	357.78$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.4	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Vitality	66c	350$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119	152	51.3%78 W · 74 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Vitality	68c	312.12$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.12	234	54.7%128 W · 106 L	-6.4wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Vitality	65c	307.69$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.69	265	63%167 W · 98 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	66cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d5…bfe9backed Vitality	66c	305$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.7	633	45.2%286 W · 347 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2063…1eedbacked Vitality	66c	303.03$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.03	76	59.2%45 W · 31 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Vitality	66c	302.99$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.99	131	46.6%61 W · 70 L	-8.3wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked MOUZ	33c	301.17$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	166	49.4%82 W · 84 L	-15.4wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xecba…5fb4backed MOUZ	34c	300$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.25	245	54.7%134 W · 111 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc553…5928backed Vitality	65c	299.44$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.96	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ccf…c116backed MOUZ	21c	292.52$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.53	77	32.5%25 W · 52 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed MOUZ	35c	285.71$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	367	51%187 W · 180 L	-15.8wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8389…db1bbacked MOUZ	35c	283.51$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.23	76	36.8%28 W · 48 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39ea…f75bbacked MOUZ	37c	270.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked MOUZ	36c	269.66$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.08	139	47.5%66 W · 73 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dae…a50bbacked MOUZ	22c	233.26$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.2	142	33.8%48 W · 94 L	-18.8wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x829f…3486backed MOUZ	28c	200$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	88	33%29 W · 59 L	-8.4wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b4e…c452backed Vitality	65c	153.85$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.85	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac3e…9decbacked Vitality	66c	151.52$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.52	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.24per pick	74cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Vitality	66c	100$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34	64	51.6%33 W · 31 L	-4.4wins	-0.07per pick	58cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7514…49bebacked Vitality	65c	84.62$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.62	317	58%184 W · 133 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3b…3f0abacked Vitality	66c	77$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.18	126	54.8%69 W · 57 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d17…b1fdbacked Vitality	66c	75.76$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.76	49	59.2%29 W · 20 L	-4.9wins	-0.10per pick	69cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd94b…d34abacked Vitality	67c	75.58$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.94	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9823…02dbbacked Vitality	78c	75.17$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.35	470	55.7%262 W · 208 L	+27.7wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2dca…7b88backed MOUZ	24c	60.43$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.27	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x28a3…79f9backed MOUZ	20c	60$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	128	43%55 W · 73 L	-13.0wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5ddd…6144backed MOUZ	34c	58.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	-4.0wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa42e…dc27backed MOUZ	35c	57.14$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked MOUZ	33c	50$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	821	46.3%380 W · 441 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fbe…d7e1backed MOUZ	37c	50$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde4b…64cfbacked Vitality	66c	45.45$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.45	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+61.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e14…fb6bbacked Vitality	67c	44.75$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.77	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.19per pick	56cpaid	+71.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad5b…0f0ebacked MOUZ	32c	42.31$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.54	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed Vitality	71c	41.72$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.07	186	24.2%45 W · 141 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed Vitality	65c	38.46$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.46	242	50.8%123 W · 119 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x639e…a9d4backed Vitality	65c	35.51$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.43	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c08…5c69backed MOUZ	36c	30$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	49	55.1%27 W · 22 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38b8…5d35backed MOUZ	35c	30$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	364	37.4%136 W · 228 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e31…5394backed MOUZ	35c	30$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+30.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6a0…2212backed Vitality	70c	25.63$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.69	345	47.5%164 W · 181 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2702…0495backed Vitality	66c	20.33$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.91	64	54.7%35 W · 29 L	-6.7wins	-0.10per pick	65cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x218e…e49dbacked Vitality	67c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.6	354	54.2%192 W · 162 L	-20.1wins	-0.06per pick	60cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

BLAST Open: Vitality vs. MOUZ

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market