Ukraine · resolved market
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ef8ef55a05e303a09b6fa1f2c00d18d4c98eb3d829b44db82a03be665ab901c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,570,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,612,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,570,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38a7…e476backed Yes | 6c | 1,246,118$78,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,364.56 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 1c | 583,128$3,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,591.49 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0914…9c93backed Yes | 1c | 245,606$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 0c | 243,141$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.96 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 171,344$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.05 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7830…783fbacked Yes | 1c | 57,869$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.74 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 4c | 57,426$2,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266.62 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 1c | 52,093$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.59 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 43,661$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.44 | 90 | 5.6%5 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffa…b3c4backed Yes | 6c | 41,851$2,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537.19 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50bc…78c2backed Yes | 3c | 40,000$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.71 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…64edbacked Yes | 0c | 33,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…be16backed Yes | 5c | 31,117$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee27…c5e2backed Yes | 0c | 31,093$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed Yes | 1c | 29,801$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.81 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…2539backed Yes | 6c | 26,888$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 1c | 20,093$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.47 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 2c | 20,088$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.5 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcb…e907backed Yes | 1c | 20,038$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4b…4382backed Yes | 2c | 19,497$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 0c | 17,914$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.74 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…658cbacked Yes | 8c | 16,851$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.92 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x68a1…7c68backed Yes | 4c | 15,500$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.87 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e21…b2f5backed Yes | 7c | 13,644$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Yes | 7c | 13,574$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.68 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +284.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcd…25e8backed Yes | 6c | 12,827$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked Yes | 0c | 12,178$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44e2…90f0backed Yes | 7c | 12,107$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7aa…d0f0backed Yes | 7c | 12,000$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.49 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa810…fd25backed Yes | 1c | 11,840$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.79 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…41a7backed Yes | 1c | 10,418$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6f…6da8backed Yes | 0c | 10,278$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 6c | 9,942$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.96 | 94 | 13.8%13 W · 81 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x705b…7483backed Yes | 6c | 9,397$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf407…10f7backed Yes | 7c | 8,647$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…439bbacked Yes | 4c | 8,292$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x887b…aa6ebacked Yes | 0c | 6,597$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d75…838bbacked Yes | 3c | 6,510$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Yes | 4c | 6,460$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2506…e1aebacked Yes | 8c | 6,432$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.26 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -79%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 2c | 5,500$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.20per pick | 24cpaid | -71%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x07d2…7abdbacked Yes | 0c | 5,433$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7671…8878backed Yes | 2c | 5,402$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe274…ee86backed Yes | 6c | 5,193$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.81 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3cc…f104backed Yes | 4c | 4,672$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 8c | 4,596$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.5 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe855…c225backed Yes | 5c | 4,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf64b…5fc9backed Yes | 5c | 4,347$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f83…6cd9backed Yes | 1c | 4,085$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1db…449fbacked Yes | 7c | 4,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…a0d7backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0753…25b2backed Yes | 0c | 3,888$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x504e…8080backed Yes | 7c | 3,839$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fec…017ebacked Yes | 4c | 3,798$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…25d5backed Yes | 1c | 3,205$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ba…dbc7backed Yes | 3c | 3,178$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.87 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…675ebacked Yes | 4c | 3,151$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92c…c62ebacked Yes | 5c | 2,912$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…71adbacked Yes | 1c | 2,769$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 19cpaid | +225%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 4c | 2,734$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…f9dbbacked Yes | 6c | 2,688$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.33 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe158…9d56backed Yes | 8c | 2,641$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f32…3e2cbacked Yes | 6c | 2,456$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…9b16backed Yes | 6c | 2,200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd5…c889backed Yes | 10c | 2,054$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Yes | 1c | 2,036$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…0618backed Yes | 5c | 2,009$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce38…a0dabacked Yes | 7c | 2,003$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b03…ff9dbacked Yes | 6c | 2,003$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.74 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…14e8backed Yes | 7c | 1,908$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 1c | 1,903$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 214 | 26.2%56 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb52f…30fabacked Yes | 6c | 1,824$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3620…229abacked Yes | 4c | 1,807$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Yes | 6c | 1,741$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf786…73ccbacked Yes | 1c | 1,737$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa228…fbbfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,703$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3f…3ecdbacked Yes | 6c | 1,589$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 7c | 1,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 108 | 12%13 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba60…e910backed Yes | 6c | 1,486$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…421dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,464$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.57 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eac…3600backed Yes | 4c | 1,400$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b9…d6e1backed Yes | 7c | 1,390$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66d9…c52dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,388$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…351bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,375$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…e27ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,357$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8414…2b32backed Yes | 7c | 1,343$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Yes | 6c | 1,295$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.14 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb194…1063backed Yes | 4c | 1,282$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf72…cb3fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,253$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4a…3129backed Yes | 3c | 1,207$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8117…0371backed Yes | 7c | 1,151$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,118$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcea…edf9backed Yes | 7c | 1,107$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…3a28backed Yes | 9c | 1,085$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…a8b2backed Yes | 5c | 1,074$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e99…18d0backed Yes | 2c | 1,033$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00dc…6ab8backed Yes | 2c | 1,003$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e84…4b92backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.97 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.