Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon: Majchrzak vs. Rinderknech
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9819be5ee43436b76c524549aca94ca2cd75edc1033657bb5054a42b8febd634
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Majchrzakof Majchrzak, Rinderknech
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Rinderknech | 55c | 6,600$3,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,646.56 | 600 | 53.8%323 W · 277 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ad…337dbacked Majchrzak | 47c | 3,612$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Majchrzak | 50c | 2,290$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.01 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rinderknech | 27c | 2,290$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.36 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Majchrzak | 44c | 1,111$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.16 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Rinderknech | 56c | 1,111$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.16 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…ab6fbacked Majchrzak | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad32…be28backed Rinderknech | 27c | 970$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Rinderknech | 38c | 902.61$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.63 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…3a28backed Rinderknech | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…b06ebacked Rinderknech | 52c | 645$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b36…b398backed Rinderknech | 56c | 597.21$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 50cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…f446backed Majchrzak | 73c | 590$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Rinderknech | 54c | 583.11$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49f…3408backed Rinderknech | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Rinderknech | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Majchrzak | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68fd…0285backed Majchrzak | 73c | 410$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Rinderknech | 53c | 399.99$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.99 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa2…6333backed Rinderknech | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…0503backed Rinderknech | 52c | 355$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Majchrzak | 47c | 319.2$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.18 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked Majchrzak | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Majchrzak | 41c | 169.49$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rinderknech | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Rinderknech | 45c | 126.31$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Rinderknech | 53c | 110$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Majchrzak | 47c | 86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Rinderknech | 56c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…9f26backed Majchrzak | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Rinderknech | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7732…fa11backed Rinderknech | 29c | 44.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Majchrzak | 50c | 42.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Rinderknech | 53c | 37.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x393d…7084backed Majchrzak | 47c | 25.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.