Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon: Cobolli vs. Mensik
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb25bd8fccd0ef8c7b78f063c0a9375ae7822c15a00bf4e7162df0848cc0d5620
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cobolli of Cobolli , Mensik
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4fcb…0426backed Mensik | 52c | 7,866$4,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,102.2 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cobolli | 41c | 6,905$2,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,066.66 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Cobolli | 55c | 6,249$3,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,826.87 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Mensik | 63c | 5,556$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Mensik | 32c | 5,273$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.33 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cobolli | 65c | 3,799$2,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.76 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Cobolli | 39c | 2,500$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.99 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…0230backed Cobolli | 41c | 2,452$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.54 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mensik | 60c | 1,787$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.71 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Cobolli | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mensik | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0447…60abbacked Cobolli | 78c | 923.03$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.07 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…52b5backed Cobolli | 53c | 747.73$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.73 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mensik | 59c | 721.88$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.91 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Cobolli | 68c | 604$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cobolli | 38c | 549.99$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Mensik | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Cobolli | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Mensik | 23c | 413.36$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.07 | 107 | 29%31 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Mensik | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Cobolli | 75c | 402.42$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.42 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…ccb8backed Cobolli | 76c | 358.51$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.3 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Mensik | 63c | 311.8$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.14 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -35%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cobolli | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Cobolli | 39c | 299.98$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.99 | 119 | 27.7%33 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Cobolli | 38c | 264.96$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.28 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cobolli | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cobolli | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Mensik | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf909…2b17backed Mensik | 62c | 220.08$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.45 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad98…8733backed Mensik | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Mensik | 26c | 178.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Cobolli | 38c | 163.37$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.29 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0455…e25abacked Mensik | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c6…ddcdbacked Cobolli | 79c | 160$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Mensik | 63c | 150$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Cobolli | 37c | 150$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Cobolli | 65c | 143.3$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…6968backed Mensik | 60c | 140$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Mensik | 63c | 131.18$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Mensik | 62c | 121$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.12 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…3a28backed Mensik | 36c | 119.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed Mensik | 59c | 111$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.49 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Mensik | 46c | 110.15$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Cobolli | 38c | 106$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.72 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe870…6bf8backed Mensik | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Cobolli | 57c | 96.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Cobolli | 38c | 95.16$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23b9…4267backed Mensik | 62c | 87.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x355a…98a6backed Mensik | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 188 | 39.9%75 W · 113 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Mensik | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Mensik | 63c | 73.51$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Cobolli | 36c | 73.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc537…d662backed Mensik | 27c | 73.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cobolli | 38c | 66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Cobolli | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Mensik | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0631…bc9cbacked Mensik | 61c | 44.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21cd…e7aabacked Mensik | 52c | 44.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Mensik | 64c | 42.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Mensik | 61c | 40.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7732…fa11backed Cobolli | 65c | 39.69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…c5a2backed Cobolli | 40c | 37.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dd…7564backed Cobolli | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Cobolli | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x393d…7084backed Cobolli | 40c | 29.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Cobolli | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c480backed Cobolli | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…94aabacked Mensik | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Cobolli | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9832…6e4dbacked Mensik | 62c | 19.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.