Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon: Struff vs. Alcaraz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5becb3eda2efebc7aadfa2ce217d9951a13bf3b88a68d674370e6a59431a866f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alcarazof Struff, Alcaraz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Struff | 3c | 51,615$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.44 | 139 | 34.5%48 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Struff | 6c | 4,099$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.22 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Struff | 4c | 3,925$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.92 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Struff | 5c | 3,400$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…6133backed Struff | 0c | 3,275$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Struff | 5c | 2,922$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.42 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Struff | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Struff | 4c | 1,818$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Struff | 7c | 1,472$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 87 | 18.4%16 W · 71 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a62…57cabacked Struff | 5c | 1,400$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Struff | 4c | 1,214$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Struff | 11c | 1,084$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.85 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…6128backed Struff | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Struff | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab66…9029backed Struff | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…3a28backed Struff | 8c | 925.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…91f9backed Struff | 8c | 834.53$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.38 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Struff | 7c | 678$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a70…6ac0backed Struff | 8c | 634.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Struff | 4c | 618.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…9f26backed Struff | 7c | 568.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…a496backed Struff | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Struff | 4c | 415$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860f…422ebacked Struff | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…f22cbacked Struff | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Struff | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Struff | 6c | 328.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Struff | 6c | 315$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…cfecbacked Struff | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03a6…1198backed Struff | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Struff | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Struff | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.