Cricket · resolved market
Will India win the match?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95f02eafe721c3c61f20f0e658886379999f95e920ae8b05804802515ef2bdd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41b4…de82backed No | 2c | 10,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes | 47c | 1,413$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.22 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1e…49d9backed Yes | 48c | 1,078$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…8f10backed Yes | 27c | 1,006$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 61c | 858.9$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.3 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 19c | 801.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.16 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 9c | 561.55$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.23 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb085…b18ebacked Yes | 59c | 371.25$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Yes | 46c | 354.99$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.24 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 76c | 244.13$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f70…6215backed Yes | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…b5fcbacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3e…3d5bbacked Yes | 66c | 91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6de4…206dbacked Yes | 40c | 87.86$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +151%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes | 53c | 85.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…f37ebacked Yes | 38c | 79.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdea8…b7a8backed Yes | 65c | 76.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17d8…e57abacked Yes | 40c | 74.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 25c | 56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 71c | 51.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3820…1819backed Yes | 29c | 51.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…f73cbacked Yes | 65c | 46.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x103c…232bbacked Yes | 51c | 39.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd245…1106backed Yes | 45c | 32.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988e…0355backed Yes | 71c | 31.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…61e2backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef9…7c16backed Yes | 59c | 23.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…07ecbacked Yes | 69c | 23.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will India win the match?this page
- Will England vs. India end in a draw?No won
- Will England win the match?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.