Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d793cbcf9d9f8f491474a4693428f45155b5f698a5fcb4e25d8f181dd8c1db5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,232,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,232,889 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked No | 17c | 147,239$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 15c | 63,174$9,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,700.76 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 2c | 52,318$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +181.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 15c | 38,529$5,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,779.4 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 15c | 37,309$5,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,729.85 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 10c | 32,252$3,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,337.97 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 15c | 28,367$4,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,255 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…05b2backed No | 15c | 23,989$3,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,548.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 15c | 18,876$2,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,775.74 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…ad8cbacked No | 15c | 16,000$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 15c | 15,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…cf2abacked No | 16c | 15,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 15c | 13,493$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.9 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…5104backed Yes | 79c | 12,574$9,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,591.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +121.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked No | 18c | 12,140$2,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,136.18 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c51…087cbacked No | 16c | 10,669$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 8c | 10,008$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.77 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 18c | 7,821$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.71 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 1c | 6,092$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.28 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +287.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…96a8backed No | 15c | 6,066$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.92 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 15c | 6,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.97 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…474abacked No | 16c | 5,900$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…3c87backed No | 17c | 5,833$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 16c | 4,168$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.72 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 19c | 2,686$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.65 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…f569backed No | 16c | 2,331$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed No | 15c | 2,270$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 16c | 2,050$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 71 | 11.3%8 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d3…22d1backed No | 16c | 1,807$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1e…49d9backed No | 16c | 1,580$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked No | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -72%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 16c | 999.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 13c | 864.83$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.13 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 11c | 802.06$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.39 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 16c | 673.21$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 20c | 608.1$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.62 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9bb…4066backed Yes | 79c | 604.82$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked No | 17c | 588.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…c667backed No | 15c | 582.86$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 14c | 580$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 15c | 499.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 16c | 482.59$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.89 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked No | 15c | 419.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 80c | 402.41$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.41 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 14c | 310$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked Yes | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 15c | 298.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 17c | 294.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed No | 16c | 289.1$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 16c | 267.47$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83f6…62f8backed Yes | 79c | 253.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.14 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfef0…7708backed Yes | 79c | 252.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed No | 20c | 244.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 16c | 212.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 14c | 199.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa71c…e905backed No | 16c | 198.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 16c | 188$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe055…637abacked Yes | 80c | 186$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 78c | 179.14$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 20c | 150.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed No | 12c | 149.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 17c | 148.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Yes | 78c | 147.15$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 10c | 143.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 15c | 140.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked No | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf885…48f2backed No | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 16c | 130$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…65dcbacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea99…f13ebacked No | 15c | 125$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf884…0364backed No | 16c | 119.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93e…96eabacked No | 15c | 110.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…265ebacked Yes | 80c | 107.66$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d4…125ebacked Yes | 80c | 105.19$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked No | 16c | 104.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…c102backed Yes | 79c | 101.63$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc56d…c484backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57de…20cbbacked Yes | 80c | 98.74$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Yes | 80c | 97.5$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed No | 20c | 96.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x763a…49a9backed No | 15c | 83.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 20c | 81.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…2e40backed Yes | 80c | 76.25$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3612…cf99backed No | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e0…032abacked Yes | 79c | 69.62$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d40…4737backed Yes | 78c | 63.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…4be1backed Yes | 80c | 62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc8…7309backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Yes | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…9af5backed Yes | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -6.1wins | -0.36per pick | 65cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-03-21?No won
- Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.