F1 · resolved market
F1 Canadian Grand Prix: Safety Car?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x734b63928ab2fd895663e83cd349d051a65ea10cec0b312154fe1f0e45eb155d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 35c | 1,910$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.65 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 67c | 499.96$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bd…55c9backed Yes | 71c | 469.33$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.89 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked No | 32c | 446.65$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.72 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…2f88backed No | 25c | 379.84$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Yes | 65c | 334.61$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.11 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…1ad5backed Yes | 64c | 334.22$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed No | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 159 | 22%35 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 65c | 230.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.72 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbea2…f8f3backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd175…bb3abacked Yes | 70c | 143.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.49 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf03…a4cabacked Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 33c | 96.87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +10.7wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 32c | 81.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…4d0bbacked No | 33c | 79.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…4513backed No | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…6012backed No | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a92…ca9cbacked Yes | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8dd…cbc3backed Yes | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1e…49d9backed Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +138%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde72…2dc6backed No | 35c | 46.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b43…d030backed Yes | 67c | 46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…ab8fbacked No | 62c | 37.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked Yes | 70c | 34.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…0957backed Yes | 65c | 30.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d37…ffc7backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +155.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffc5…3b2fbacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…cbc2backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5583…fcdabacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa51c…f3efbacked Yes | 66c | 25.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked Yes | 67c | 24.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d27…cff0backed Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab9…5f7abacked Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc24a…5cd7backed Yes | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea6…0faebacked Yes | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x883d…deb0backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.