Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Utrecht vs. Sparta Rotterdam end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bff6367858bd2b10d7818aa81caa032bb363d1481e0c17e857f9056c42659b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x083c…3f02backed No | 74c | 29,871$22,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,766.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…b665backed Yes | 26c | 28,239$7,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,342.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 28c | 9,999$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.75 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 8,191$5,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306.11 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 6,934$5,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926.79 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed5…753dbacked Yes | 29c | 2,717$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…ba97backed Yes | 29c | 1,897$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 27c | 1,353$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.99 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 29c | 1,048$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 29c | 979.31$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 18c | 796.58$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.34 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 29c | 496.55$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 448.75$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.46 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 19c | 315.47$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 38c | 265.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Yes | 26c | 192.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked No | 73c | 113$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 108.57$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 23c | 96.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…1685backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 71c | 67.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 62c | 43.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 78c | 38.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 29c | 38.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 79c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed No | 75c | 33.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 77c | 28.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Utrecht vs. Sparta Rotterdam end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-01-25?No won
- Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-01-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.