NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. 76ers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x737d3100e6db98c32e1ebeaab1cc4fc7ed357a3856d1c83022f16bb36d390d87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Heat, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $300,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $314,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $300,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 712 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x083c…3f02backed Heat | 73c | 49,972$36,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,492.48 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…b665backed 76ers | 27c | 49,969$13,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,491.73 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Heat | 75c | 26,633$19,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,704.94 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed 76ers | 16c | 19,220$3,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,104.74 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked 76ers | 24c | 7,908$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.77 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed 76ers | 26c | 7,100$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Heat | 75c | 5,858$4,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.75 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Heat | 76c | 5,612$4,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.59 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked 76ers | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed 76ers | 26c | 3,465$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.08 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae97…7eabbacked 76ers | 16c | 3,343$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Heat | 78c | 2,840$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.76 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed 76ers | 26c | 2,649$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.42 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed 76ers | 28c | 2,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5056…0576backed 76ers | 25c | 2,133$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Heat | 73c | 2,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.17 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Heat | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.99 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed 76ers | 26c | 1,946$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Heat | 75c | 1,821$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.69 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed 76ers | 23c | 1,800$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed 76ers | 26c | 1,786$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.28 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Heat | 72c | 1,745$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.65 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Heat | 74c | 1,622$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.62 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Heat | 73c | 1,544$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.78 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Heat | 79c | 1,510$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.1 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Heat | 73c | 1,509$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.63 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed 76ers | 25c | 1,399$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.74 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed 76ers | 25c | 1,385$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.16 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed 76ers | 26c | 1,345$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.67 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked 76ers | 21c | 1,267$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.13 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed 76ers | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked 76ers | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Heat | 75c | 984.57$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.14 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…51d3backed 76ers | 27c | 925.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Heat | 75c | 905.43$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.36 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed 76ers | 27c | 900$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Heat | 74c | 897.98$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.48 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed 76ers | 19c | 727.3$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.62 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed 76ers | 25c | 726.38$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.15 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a31…ca79backed 76ers | 5c | 700$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…5b0bbacked 76ers | 26c | 665.38$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Heat | 73c | 600$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Heat | 75c | 527.84$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.28 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed 76ers | 22c | 502.93$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.39 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked 76ers | 25c | 486$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Heat | 74c | 444.02$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.44 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked 76ers | 26c | 434.49$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.96 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Heat | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed 76ers | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…b24ebacked 76ers | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 29.8%48 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked 76ers | 18c | 382.2$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.37 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed 76ers | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed 76ers | 24c | 353.35$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.18 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ceb…0c87backed 76ers | 25c | 351.53$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.88 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd156…13b1backed Heat | 75c | 333.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6984…1b67backed 76ers | 28c | 332.46$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.09 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…c476backed 76ers | 24c | 322.92$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.35 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdafc…dbadbacked 76ers | 28c | 321.43$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked 76ers | 19c | 311$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed 76ers | 21c | 309.52$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Heat | 75c | 301.13$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.28 | 473 | 57.9%274 W · 199 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Heat | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Heat | 74c | 299.99$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…0594backed Heat | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Heat | 74c | 250$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked 76ers | 27c | 229.26$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.81 | 269 | 33.5%90 W · 179 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…0898backed Heat | 74c | 222.28$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.79 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +125.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked 76ers | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee1f…9cedbacked Heat | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 122 | 29.5%36 W · 86 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked 76ers | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 229 | 39.7%91 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…d43bbacked 76ers | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cf…af78backed 76ers | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb4…ff62backed Heat | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed 76ers | 24c | 199.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +40%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed 76ers | 25c | 197.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bca…5741backed 76ers | 26c | 189.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0924…e953backed 76ers | 26c | 188.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa940…59bebacked Heat | 75c | 185.46$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…6bdabacked Heat | 73c | 180.44$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…67ebbacked 76ers | 26c | 173.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…5b3abacked Heat | 78c | 170.37$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11d0…6ed6backed Heat | 73c | 167.59$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa929…1baabacked Heat | 75c | 160$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c28…3bcabacked 76ers | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…b24cbacked Heat | 75c | 160$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…affbbacked Heat | 75c | 160$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fb…fb2cbacked 76ers | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27d8…ddfcbacked 76ers | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac41…21b2backed 76ers | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x950b…6d88backed Heat | 75c | 160$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…61febacked 76ers | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67c…f843backed Heat | 75c | 160$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc234…74b2backed Heat | 75c | 160$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x929d…1176backed 76ers | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2cd…fb96backed 76ers | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bc…53f2backed 76ers | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…7e2fbacked 76ers | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c1…a01ebacked Heat | 75c | 160$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…fdb3backed Heat | 75c | 160$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe920…7289backed 76ers | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.