MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8130c834a3dd64608a73e27033972012422a7e56311fc1bacf3865ed40f89857
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yankeesof Astros, Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $334,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $373,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $334,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Astros | 39c | 76,696$29,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,612.68 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yankees | 50c | 39,859$19,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,938.49 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Yankees | 48c | 37,647$18,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,496.06 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Astros | 50c | 34,958$17,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,478.93 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yankees | 64c | 18,865$12,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,797.21 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yankees | 62c | 18,690$11,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,084.54 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Astros | 50c | 14,221$7,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,110.5 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Yankees | 61c | 12,858$7,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,019.2 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Astros | 50c | 12,500$6,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,250 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Yankees | 50c | 12,296$6,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,147.79 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eeb…4286backed Astros | 0c | 12,205$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -55%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Yankees | 61c | 6,242$3,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450.51 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Astros | 52c | 6,064$3,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,130.5 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Astros | 52c | 5,771$3,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.95 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…825ebacked Astros | 40c | 5,400$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Yankees | 50c | 5,388$2,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,692.17 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yankees | 62c | 5,334$3,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.81 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Astros | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Astros | 51c | 4,800$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.88 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…ba19backed Yankees | 50c | 4,400$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Yankees | 50c | 4,269$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,148.47 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…3f02backed Astros | 52c | 4,232$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Astros | 48c | 4,133$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.39 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked Astros | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Astros | 38c | 3,937$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yankees | 49c | 3,900$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.99 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…341dbacked Astros | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf075…3d58backed Yankees | 48c | 3,750$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Yankees | 51c | 3,700$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.52 | 394 | 56.9%224 W · 170 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Yankees | 50c | 3,647$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.48 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Yankees | 51c | 3,547$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.04 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Yankees | 60c | 3,519$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.96 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed99…92cabacked Yankees | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3424…20f3backed Yankees | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…a6dbbacked Astros | 51c | 3,100$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Yankees | 69c | 3,025$2,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.11 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 50c | 2,958$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.33 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Yankees | 50c | 2,417$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.5 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Astros | 51c | 2,000$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.98 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…e4cfbacked Astros | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Yankees | 64c | 1,870$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.72 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Astros | 36c | 1,666$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.82 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Yankees | 50c | 1,603$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.47 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Yankees | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Astros | 51c | 1,555$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.19 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Astros | 49c | 1,550$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.36 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…5279backed Yankees | 70c | 1,545$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.33 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Astros | 50c | 1,537$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.58 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…5c4ebacked Yankees | 52c | 1,427$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.78 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Astros | 40c | 1,252$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.93 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Yankees | 53c | 1,225$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.16 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Astros | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Yankees | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Yankees | 61c | 1,120$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.72 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…7fdcbacked Astros | 51c | 1,067$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Astros | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed Astros | 53c | 920.04$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.24 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Astros | 50c | 875.03$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.76 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Astros | 42c | 846.08$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.99 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yankees | 49c | 808.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.16 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Astros | 50c | 795.08$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.54 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 51c | 720.21$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.29 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yankees | 49c | 714$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.14 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Astros | 41c | 626.58$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.9 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…57b6backed Astros | 52c | 620$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -39%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yankees | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Astros | 51c | 588.16$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.96 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…069abacked Yankees | 50c | 587$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.5 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Astros | 33c | 582.75$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7774…15d4backed Astros | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Astros | 51c | 550$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.5 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yankees | 72c | 550$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…40cdbacked Yankees | 48c | 533.33$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.33 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Astros | 16c | 507.38$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yankees | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Yankees | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x894a…3d3cbacked Astros | 10c | 487.8$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Yankees | 64c | 478.32$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.51 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Astros | 34c | 470.01$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.8 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Astros | 32c | 449.42$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.72 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yankees | 61c | 447.02$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.46 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yankees | 64c | 444.99$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.38 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Astros | 50c | 440$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.4 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02c…2cf8backed Astros | 51c | 440$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.4 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Yankees | 61c | 425.57$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.32 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Astros | 54c | 367.54$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.47 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yankees | 43c | 350.3$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.3 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Astros | 51c | 334.59$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.64 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…2775backed Yankees | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…d9d7backed Yankees | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Yankees | 47c | 299.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.6 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Astros | 52c | 288$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Astros | 53c | 264.15$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…6ecebacked Astros | 40c | 259.81$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.02 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x548b…6155backed Astros | 33c | 246.18$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.24 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Astros | 52c | 239.19$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.1 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Astros | 56c | 233.94$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.12 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Yankees | 48c | 211.49$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.43 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Yankees | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Astros | 53c | 201.89$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.