MLB · resolved market
Royals vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b5fa27a39a6f5472910b911f66549d9b92a1ae9c2b5a4b92690e8459b9fc728
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Royals, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Royals | 41c | 36,897$15,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,223.1 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Mariners | 61c | 28,855$17,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,276.36 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Royals | 41c | 25,000$10,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,250 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Mariners | 58c | 17,352$10,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,260.85 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Royals | 40c | 4,500$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.58 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mariners | 58c | 4,500$2,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Mariners | 61c | 4,317$2,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.23 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Mariners | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.98 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 60c | 3,336$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.43 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mariners | 67c | 3,061$2,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.72 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Royals | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Royals | 1c | 2,447$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Royals | 41c | 2,438$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9591…7951backed Mariners | 60c | 2,389$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.54 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…896fbacked Royals | 5c | 2,300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Mariners | 59c | 2,188$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.08 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Mariners | 57c | 1,831$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.6 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Mariners | 59c | 1,616$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.61 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Royals | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Royals | 2c | 1,420$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Mariners | 60c | 1,400$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…cac8backed Mariners | 59c | 1,386$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.02 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Royals | 41c | 1,347$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.36 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Royals | 41c | 1,336$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.17 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Mariners | 60c | 1,292$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.67 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners | 57c | 1,280$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.83 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Royals | 2c | 1,235$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Mariners | 47c | 1,196$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.86 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Mariners | 45c | 1,121$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.49 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3d…063bbacked Royals | 37c | 1,121$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.29 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Royals | 9c | 1,120$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Royals | 2c | 1,100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Mariners | 80c | 1,095$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.08 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Royals | 53c | 1,000$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.14 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…69aebacked Royals | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Royals | 42c | 959.63$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Royals | 42c | 847.98$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.15 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf7…b626backed Mariners | 59c | 798$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.18 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…838fbacked Royals | 41c | 798$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.18 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Royals | 4c | 600.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Mariners | 60c | 597.89$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.31 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Royals | 40c | 454.24$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.69 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Royals | 43c | 437.21$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Mariners | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Mariners | 50c | 411.6$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.8 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Royals | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…87abbacked Mariners | 60c | 395.01$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.01 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed0…77f7backed Royals | 41c | 349.99$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Mariners | 60c | 340.18$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.07 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Mariners | 60c | 335.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.35 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Mariners | 60c | 335.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.18 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Royals | 20c | 326$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.52 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Royals | 39c | 301.11$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.91 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mariners | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…b5c3backed Mariners | 62c | 278.61$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.87 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Royals | 19c | 270.53$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked Royals | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Royals | 40c | 249.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Royals | 41c | 244.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf094…6fd5backed Royals | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Royals | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Royals | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Royals | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5d…17febacked Royals | 40c | 217.98$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Royals | 10c | 210.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb7…6479backed Mariners | 61c | 203.4$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.44 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Royals | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc626…2beabacked Mariners | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Royals | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Royals | 40c | 199.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Mariners | 73c | 194$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60a…bc24backed Royals | 41c | 190.24$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Mariners | 62c | 176.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.98 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Mariners | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Mariners | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Mariners | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ff…9f4abacked Mariners | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Royals | 42c | 150.86$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…4ebabacked Royals | 43c | 148.55$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb42d…e428backed Royals | 43c | 147.35$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…7d2bbacked Mariners | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 32 | 81.3%26 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…8061backed Mariners | 60c | 140.18$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +33%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5d54backed Royals | 44c | 134.27$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked Royals | 41c | 131.71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Royals | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Royals | 22c | 124.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa588…2972backed Mariners | 75c | 123.25$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Royals | 41c | 121.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Royals | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Royals | 41c | 121$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Royals | 42c | 117.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Royals | 43c | 115.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb06…99d4backed Royals | 42c | 112.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9327…9ea2backed Mariners | 60c | 104.12$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…59a7backed Royals | 43c | 100.56$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…0c63backed Mariners | 60c | 100.37$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Mariners | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa116…6f3bbacked Royals | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…e683backed Mariners | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +107%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Royals | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.