MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ec07f20233672061a32962d3692465bc559566a3ba3ebea8eb8d89129409c96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Orioles, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $303,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $332,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $303,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Orioles | 39c | 31,729$12,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,419.86 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rangers | 67c | 19,933$13,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,450.59 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Rangers | 50c | 16,103$8,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,051.66 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Rangers | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rangers | 25c | 10,595$2,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,619.95 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Orioles | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Orioles | 50c | 8,369$4,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,184.63 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rangers | 49c | 6,749$3,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,295.62 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20e…d622backed Orioles | 67c | 6,301$4,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,096.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Rangers | 50c | 6,099$3,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,049.44 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e276backed Orioles | 50c | 5,759$2,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,890.03 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 56cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Orioles | 44c | 5,170$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,890.47 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Orioles | 59c | 4,610$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.92 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Orioles | 57c | 4,222$2,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.04 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Orioles | 50c | 4,100$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Orioles | 77c | 4,090$3,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.5 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles | 50c | 4,013$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.74 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Rangers | 38c | 3,988$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.58 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Orioles | 78c | 3,852$2,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.43 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rangers | 42c | 3,352$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.72 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Orioles | 70c | 3,345$2,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.32 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Orioles | 50c | 3,300$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Rangers | 66c | 3,225$2,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,128.67 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Rangers | 52c | 3,073$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rangers | 49c | 2,736$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.81 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x704a…7c42backed Rangers | 53c | 2,389$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Orioles | 78c | 2,125$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.5 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Orioles | 37c | 2,107$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.13 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…4ebabacked Orioles | 49c | 2,016$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.06 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Orioles | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Orioles | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Orioles | 49c | 1,847$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.96 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Rangers | 49c | 1,637$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.62 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Orioles | 51c | 1,490$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.2 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Rangers | 45c | 1,461$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…a1c2backed Orioles | 55c | 1,455$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.78 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Rangers | 18c | 1,425$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.82 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Orioles | 52c | 1,355$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.44 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Orioles | 49c | 1,233$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.67 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rangers | 38c | 1,218$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.33 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd02d…efaebacked Orioles | 47c | 1,047$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.29 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Orioles | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.02 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb42d…e428backed Orioles | 52c | 1,010$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.69 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Rangers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Orioles | 49c | 967.21$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.49 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Orioles | 50c | 943.74$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.87 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Orioles | 50c | 932.02$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Orioles | 50c | 927.96$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.4 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…5279backed Orioles | 50c | 895.71$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.3 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 55c | 876.02$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.24 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Orioles | 54c | 858.72$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.42 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Orioles | 79c | 850.46$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.65 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Rangers | 51c | 829.83$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Rangers | 44c | 808$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.5 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Orioles | 51c | 805.63$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.76 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Orioles | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Orioles | 40c | 800$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Orioles | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Rangers | 49c | 773.41$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.97 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Orioles | 48c | 757.81$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.86 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Rangers | 49c | 749$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.01 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…10c2backed Orioles | 52c | 740.67$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.07 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Rangers | 76c | 719.45$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.87 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…767ebacked Orioles | 44c | 714.55$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.81 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Orioles | 50c | 707.47$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.74 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…896fbacked Rangers | 8c | 650$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Rangers | 49c | 596.95$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.51 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Rangers | 18c | 550$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Rangers | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Orioles | 51c | 490$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.1 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Orioles | 60c | 487.52$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.36 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Orioles | 76c | 471.13$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.74 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Rangers | 17c | 410.18$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.91 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Orioles | 46c | 401.28$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.16 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Orioles | 75c | 400.12$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.12 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Orioles | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Orioles | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Orioles | 51c | 386.25$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.26 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Rangers | 48c | 354.86$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.33 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…cac8backed Orioles | 50c | 300.03$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.17 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rangers | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Orioles | 80c | 294.87$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.97 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06c6…4162backed Rangers | 35c | 276.02$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.57 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fb…e7ddbacked Orioles | 75c | 274.83$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.73 | 169 | 83.4%141 W · 28 L | +20.1wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9987…fe68backed Orioles | 78c | 260.73$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Orioles | 52c | 258.85$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.25 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Orioles | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eca…d04dbacked Orioles | 79c | 253.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1a…bf3abacked Orioles | 75c | 231.21$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rangers | 49c | 221.97$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.25 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Rangers | 10c | 215.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rangers | 40c | 214.08$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.22 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff00…c146backed Orioles | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Rangers | 52c | 204.73$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.18 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa116…6f3bbacked Rangers | 50c | 202$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Orioles | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Orioles | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…08d1backed Rangers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Orioles | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Orioles | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.