TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Twins vs. Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tigersof Twins, Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$722,934
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$788,923

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $722,934 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9708…925bbacked Twins28c430,013$120,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120,996.6616643.4%72 W · 94 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Tigers72c199,792$143,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,877.6886751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Tigers72c87,148$62,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,401.535854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Tigers71c54,000$38,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,66015353.6%82 W · 71 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Tigers72c27,780$20,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,778.5355053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7225…293abacked Twins26c18,978$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0004047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Tigers77c18,645$14,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,296.5797950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Tigers71c17,608$12,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,053.511,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Twins30c16,260$4,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,945.391,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa488…fb11backed Tigers73c13,699$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,698.632065%13 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Tigers77c12,298$9,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,775.351,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Tigers71c11,111$7,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,222.1960249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacdf…0ec4backed Tigers73c10,117$7,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,731.6219452.6%102 W · 92 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc43…398cbacked Twins28c10,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8005429.6%16 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Tigers73c6,750$4,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,822.3976456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcce…136abacked Twins15c6,676$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00029240.8%119 W · 173 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Tigers75c6,560$4,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,647.549,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Twins17c5,682$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.2531248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers71c5,084$3,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.842,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Twins29c5,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44069249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Tigers73c4,756$3,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.8826847.4%127 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Tigers72c4,218$3,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.1532852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Twins21c4,053$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86013946.8%65 W · 74 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Twins32c3,755$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.411877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Twins11c3,650$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.51,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Twins7c3,590$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.322,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Tigers73c3,550$2,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.950852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed Tigers72c3,500$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9804252.4%22 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Twins4c3,404$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2445248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Tigers71c2,972$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.4473352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…77bfbacked Twins29c2,839$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.2515553.5%83 W · 72 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3f5…32aebacked Tigers73c2,659$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.975358.5%31 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Tigers76c2,309$1,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.7940547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9850…4708backed Twins14c2,135$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Twins27c2,104$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.0531346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Tigers73c2,056$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.1866645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ef9…c510backed Tigers72c1,984$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa842…08e5backed Twins24c1,969$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-41.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x123a…3260backed Twins28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Tigers73c1,750$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.527953.4%149 W · 130 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Twins21c1,716$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.81,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Twins18c1,588$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28527213.6%37 W · 235 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Tigers77c1,498$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.3265549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa365…d26ebacked Tigers78c1,437$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.614052.9%74 W · 66 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c3f…fd51backed Twins13c1,321$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd073…b757backed Tigers73c1,286$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.13560%21 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Twins29c1,212$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.4522312.1%27 W · 196 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Tigers72c1,117$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.9840629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x80b1…f64abacked Twins29c1,113$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3204050%20 W · 20 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Twins3c1,058$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.88762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8468…10c2backed Twins29c1,051$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Twins5c1,050$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.532832.3%106 W · 222 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Twins26c999.97$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.991,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x385a…08d1backed Twins16c952.06$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.064626.1%12 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Tigers72c952.01$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.565,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Twins4c949.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.55053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Twins28c892.86$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024154.4%131 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Tigers72c850$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23843654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Twins10c780$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.827733.6%93 W · 184 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Tigers72c728.53$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.740152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Twins9c714.31$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Tigers71c704$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.1640352.4%211 W · 192 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b1a…bf3abacked Tigers73c683.71$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.65666.1%37 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7629…6141backed Tigers74c676.5$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.491464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+29.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5874…a9d7backed Twins19c570.04$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11024953%132 W · 117 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Twins2c560.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.665852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3485…d8bbbacked Twins19c478.95$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Twins28c473.03$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.671,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Tigers73c449.82$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.456357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0b8…9272backed Twins28c447.61$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.332634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Twins26c439.14$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9488549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Twins15c426.53$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9812640.5%51 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Twins28c425.98$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.421,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf094…6fd5backed Tigers73c420.55$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.553650%18 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Tigers74c405.48$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4838455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed Twins27c400$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10820448%98 W · 106 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf936…f310backed Tigers73c376.71$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.711471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Twins27c370.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.171,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Twins27c369.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.823938.5%92 W · 147 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Twins27c352.26$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.685047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Twins29c345$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0540548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf419…3ce7backed Twins29c332.37$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.97946.8%37 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Tigers76c324.03$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.280680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x9839…040ebacked Twins26c307.98$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0814146.8%66 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Twins30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Tigers73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9734264.3%220 W · 122 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Tigers73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9721853.2%116 W · 102 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Tigers79c271.51$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.244,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Tigers74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2731356.2%176 W · 137 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9a…06d0backed Tigers79c240.56$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0317866.3%118 W · 60 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Tigers73c211.15$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1517244.8%77 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Tigers80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4051953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa910…0777backed Tigers73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543363.6%21 W · 12 L+5.3wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+41.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Twins30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Twins27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5438249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe89e…bb74backed Tigers71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-57.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed Twins9c198$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.113138.2%50 W · 81 L-9.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a3…5532backed Tigers73c193.63$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.281154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid+13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddce…6c35backed Tigers73c193.47$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.24650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1b0…8cedbacked Twins28c188.25$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.71450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.