MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fb70d6201cf31948b1773a4b3d8cee6def0612f5aa6230c2ed7cfc1798a4303
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Reds, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $167,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Reds | 39c | 45,595$17,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,781.96 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Red Sox | 61c | 27,000$16,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,530 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Red Sox | 61c | 20,182$12,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,871.06 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1188…f4adbacked Reds | 37c | 9,998$3,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4caa…d4f7backed Red Sox | 63c | 9,998$6,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,699.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…98cfbacked Reds | 8c | 5,112$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.74 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Reds | 4c | 3,293$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.94 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Reds | 39c | 3,039$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.08 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Reds | 38c | 2,574$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.05 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Reds | 39c | 2,570$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Red Sox | 61c | 2,471$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.5 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Reds | 37c | 2,380$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.7 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Reds | 4c | 2,335$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Reds | 4c | 2,186$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Reds | 35c | 2,153$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.89 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Reds | 6c | 2,136$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Reds | 30c | 2,032$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Reds | 2c | 2,005$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Red Sox | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Reds | 6c | 1,807$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Red Sox | 61c | 1,690$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.1 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Reds | 38c | 1,637$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.06 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Reds | 38c | 1,598$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.33 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Reds | 39c | 1,438$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.9 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Red Sox | 63c | 1,364$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.67 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Reds | 39c | 1,345$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.64 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Red Sox | 76c | 1,342$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.97 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…10c2backed Reds | 8c | 1,251$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Reds | 41c | 1,216$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Red Sox | 62c | 1,007$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.68 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 21c | 1,004$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.58 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Reds | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Red Sox | 59c | 975.83$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.09 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Reds | 3c | 966.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Red Sox | 61c | 840.29$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.07 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Red Sox | 62c | 810.98$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.55 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Reds | 2c | 770.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Reds | 4c | 751.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Red Sox | 61c | 719.39$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.46 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…cac8backed Reds | 36c | 699.99$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.11 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Reds | 6c | 679.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.01 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Red Sox | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.74 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Red Sox | 61c | 630$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.7 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Red Sox | 64c | 626.59$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.59 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Reds | 24c | 613.08$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.52 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Reds | 7c | 534.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Red Sox | 61c | 522.82$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.9 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…896fbacked Reds | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Reds | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Reds | 6c | 500$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Red Sox | 63c | 499.97$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.99 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Reds | 6c | 421.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Red Sox | 60c | 416.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.47 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Reds | 37c | 380$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.7 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Reds | 38c | 336.3$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.16 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Reds | 4c | 317.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Red Sox | 63c | 317.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.93 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Reds | 38c | 300$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.55 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Red Sox | 25c | 287.22$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.41 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Red Sox | 61c | 286$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.54 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Reds | 36c | 275$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Red Sox | 61c | 257$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.23 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Reds | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0a…e004backed Reds | 40c | 251.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfb…bea8backed Reds | 36c | 249.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Reds | 6c | 245.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Reds | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Red Sox | 64c | 241.6$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.97 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x697b…0d4ebacked Reds | 40c | 222.5$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Red Sox | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Reds | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…de34backed Red Sox | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Reds | 37c | 199.96$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…d72fbacked Red Sox | 67c | 196.96$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.54 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5d54backed Reds | 47c | 187.27$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.88 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Reds | 7c | 169.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8910…c9b6backed Reds | 39c | 163.36$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51c2…2b13backed Red Sox | 62c | 142.58$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Reds | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked Reds | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafeb…b335backed Reds | 39c | 130.36$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef7…4fd2backed Red Sox | 61c | 130$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Reds | 39c | 128$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Red Sox | 61c | 125$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x471a…0e67backed Reds | 39c | 121.31$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Reds | 39c | 110$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa116…6f3bbacked Red Sox | 63c | 103.17$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.17 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa203…bf0bbacked Red Sox | 61c | 103$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…b5c3backed Red Sox | 61c | 100.53$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Reds | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Reds | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03d4…8008backed Reds | 40c | 99.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Reds | 40c | 96.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a8…5731backed Reds | 40c | 92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Reds | 39c | 90$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Reds | 36c | 89.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…c0fcbacked Red Sox | 62c | 88.03$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2493…96aabacked Reds | 40c | 87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…7bbebacked Red Sox | 64c | 86.78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9e…ca58backed Red Sox | 64c | 86.08$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.