MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8c789a3c6b0d17b376683c1489c074764724f4a63c96b5b8980ea59b5917c36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Blue Jays, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $351,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $379,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $351,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 163,249$81,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,624.32 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5912…89aebacked Red Sox | 50c | 79,888$39,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,944.01 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Blue Jays | 61c | 65,986$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,985.75 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Red Sox | 45c | 27,542$12,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,408.99 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Red Sox | 34c | 25,217$8,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,561.77 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Red Sox | 50c | 21,346$10,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,673.22 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Red Sox | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox | 35c | 17,023$5,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,942.04 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Red Sox | 48c | 16,420$7,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,856.28 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Red Sox | 32c | 12,737$4,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,086.62 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…b3d7backed Red Sox | 42c | 10,441$4,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,360.05 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Red Sox | 50c | 8,162$4,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,081 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Red Sox | 50c | 7,848$3,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,923.78 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Blue Jays | 52c | 7,393$3,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,548.58 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Red Sox | 50c | 6,368$3,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,158.24 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…398cbacked Red Sox | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 1,157 | 49.2%569 W · 588 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Red Sox | 51c | 4,967$2,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,533 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Red Sox | 19c | 4,583$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.86 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 4,394$2,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.97 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Blue Jays | 65c | 3,640$2,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.59 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Red Sox | 46c | 3,566$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.39 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Blue Jays | 51c | 2,400$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 61c | 2,381$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.93 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Red Sox | 40c | 2,106$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.35 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Blue Jays | 67c | 1,904$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.36 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox | 49c | 1,840$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.38 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Blue Jays | 50c | 1,788$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.78 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Blue Jays | 51c | 1,765$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.71 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 1,637$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.93 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Red Sox | 49c | 1,635$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.13 | 1,924 | 53.4%1,028 W · 896 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…86a2backed Red Sox | 1c | 1,475$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 1,342$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.58 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Blue Jays | 69c | 1,200$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.31 | 122 | 67.2%82 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc17…4254backed Blue Jays | 51c | 1,147$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9591…7951backed Blue Jays | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.08 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Red Sox | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Red Sox | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Blue Jays | 51c | 938$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.99 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Red Sox | 36c | 921$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.05 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…0a56backed Blue Jays | 68c | 728.07$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.07 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Red Sox | 49c | 714.29$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa116…6f3bbacked Blue Jays | 73c | 656.05$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.15 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Red Sox | 31c | 632$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.13 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Red Sox | 49c | 615.89$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Blue Jays | 55c | 541.18$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.53 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Red Sox | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Blue Jays | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Red Sox | 50c | 476.62$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.31 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Blue Jays | 72c | 462.98$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.72 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Red Sox | 41c | 447.46$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.5 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Red Sox | 42c | 432.64$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.5 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Red Sox | 4c | 430$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb42d…e428backed Red Sox | 43c | 429.79$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd540…b2febacked Red Sox | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Red Sox | 45c | 396.5$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.27 | 5,235 | 56.8%2,972 W · 2,263 L | +130.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Red Sox | 32c | 361.34$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.41 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 347.18$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.29 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…ba3ebacked Red Sox | 5c | 321.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Red Sox | 12c | 317.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 316$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.09 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Sox | 29c | 313.75$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.92 | 4,197 | 50.2%2,106 W · 2,091 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Red Sox | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Red Sox | 49c | 299.97$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.99 | 3,314 | 46.3%1,533 W · 1,781 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Red Sox | 48c | 259.83$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.31 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Red Sox | 31c | 252.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.74 | 6,309 | 48.2%3,044 W · 3,265 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Red Sox | 15c | 236$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc90…a076backed Blue Jays | 73c | 235.42$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Red Sox | 47c | 213$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 1,448 | 50%724 W · 724 L | +26.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Blue Jays | 53c | 213$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.11 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Red Sox | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Blue Jays | 51c | 205$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…de34backed Blue Jays | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Red Sox | 46c | 199.97$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Blue Jays | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Blue Jays | 50c | 192$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Red Sox | 57c | 175.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.21 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Red Sox | 46c | 174$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…c876backed Red Sox | 48c | 155.39$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.15 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked Red Sox | 49c | 148.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Blue Jays | 51c | 142.69$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.02 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Red Sox | 45c | 140.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…21d0backed Blue Jays | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…08e5backed Blue Jays | 78c | 128.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…aaadbacked Red Sox | 10c | 126.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdef7…4fd2backed Blue Jays | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Blue Jays | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Blue Jays | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 195 | 66.2%129 W · 66 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef7…bd03backed Red Sox | 41c | 119.28$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Red Sox | 47c | 117.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d53…381dbacked Blue Jays | 51c | 116$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Red Sox | 50c | 112.9$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9187…ae44backed Blue Jays | 53c | 103.32$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedd4…6953backed Blue Jays | 50c | 103$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Red Sox | 30c | 102.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Blue Jays | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Blue Jays | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…e37cbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Red Sox | 34c | 97.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5716…d9ebbacked Red Sox | 48c | 95.21$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.