MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01acd8871525d0c11e42ca24c624bd1181950b26e9148180c46c78bd865c95e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bravesof Phillies, Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $309,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $327,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $309,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Phillies | 40c | 152,560$60,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,472.9 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Braves | 60c | 99,489$59,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,814.4 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Braves | 74c | 75,709$56,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,525.71 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 13c | 21,827$2,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,838.52 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Phillies | 9c | 12,083$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.26 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Braves | 60c | 4,800$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Phillies | 32c | 4,269$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.07 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Braves | 71c | 4,136$2,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.08 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Braves | 61c | 4,100$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.98 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Phillies | 39c | 4,080$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.2 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Phillies | 35c | 3,718$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Phillies | 1c | 3,655$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd4…ee9fbacked Braves | 62c | 3,419$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves | 60c | 3,192$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.81 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Phillies | 19c | 2,363$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.5 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Phillies | 1c | 2,060$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Phillies | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Braves | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Phillies | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Phillies | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Phillies | 18c | 1,805$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.91 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…293abacked Phillies | 28c | 1,750$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Braves | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Phillies | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…029ebacked Phillies | 19c | 1,305$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.84 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Phillies | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Phillies | 22c | 1,263$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.94 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Phillies | 19c | 1,150$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 18c | 1,049$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.82 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Phillies | 17c | 1,019$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.19 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…896fbacked Phillies | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Phillies | 39c | 965.92$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.6 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1162…1a5bbacked Phillies | 42c | 952.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Phillies | 42c | 949.99$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…b3d7backed Braves | 66c | 917.98$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.72 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Phillies | 8c | 915.7$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Braves | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c43…1f64backed Phillies | 42c | 793$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.06 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…838fbacked Braves | 58c | 793$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.06 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Phillies | 39c | 778$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.42 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x123a…3260backed Phillies | 39c | 728.21$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…c876backed Phillies | 38c | 694.77$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.2 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Braves | 58c | 672.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.66 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Phillies | 40c | 652$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.72 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Phillies | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Phillies | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb7…6479backed Phillies | 38c | 619.55$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Phillies | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Braves | 74c | 551.48$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.09 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Phillies | 41c | 492.71$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.01 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7f…4cd8backed Phillies | 32c | 452.06$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.67 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked Phillies | 28c | 424.69$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.9 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Phillies | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Phillies | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Braves | 76c | 396.49$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed Braves | 67c | 371.83$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.83 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Phillies | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Phillies | 14c | 350$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…bbc7backed Phillies | 38c | 318.91$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…c2f8backed Braves | 63c | 315.31$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.32 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Phillies | 21c | 313.46$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.83 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Phillies | 39c | 308$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.12 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Phillies | 17c | 281$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Phillies | 19c | 252.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…69aebacked Phillies | 41c | 249.98$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.49 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Phillies | 22c | 245.45$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Phillies | 41c | 244$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Braves | 59c | 242$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.22 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Phillies | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Phillies | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Phillies | 42c | 238$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…7a65backed Braves | 59c | 237.29$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Phillies | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Phillies | 13c | 230$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Phillies | 40c | 222.5$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.93 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Phillies | 19c | 214.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeace…fe6abacked Phillies | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Phillies | 16c | 206.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Phillies | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Phillies | 27c | 197.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.37 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Phillies | 41c | 196$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.36 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Braves | 57c | 194.98$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.84 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Braves | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Braves | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Phillies | 34c | 159.83$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…0cccbacked Phillies | 40c | 157.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Phillies | 30c | 156.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Phillies | 31c | 152.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9292…2cd1backed Phillies | 33c | 152.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Braves | 69c | 138.23$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Phillies | 27c | 107.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Phillies | 10c | 107$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Phillies | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…6b0bbacked Phillies | 42c | 100.02$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Phillies | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5f…9a7dbacked Braves | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…de34backed Braves | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf51…4061backed Braves | 72c | 97.55$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…87abbacked Phillies | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.