TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Nets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,168,032
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,142,857

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,168,032 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5afb…4511backed Nets17c708,659$118,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118,278.865540%22 W · 33 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x576d…767dbacked Nets16c50,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,999.992245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Nets15c35,000$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,25038248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Nets13c21,004$2,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,822.4185742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Nets14c19,995$2,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.3735235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Nets20c15,271$3,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,032.715246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ae3…bc70backed Nets13c11,464$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.3811149.5%55 W · 56 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Nets3c10,683$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.071,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92c6…4722backed Nets15c10,408$1,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,561.14633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8058…d023backed Nets13c10,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.997946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ed7…e617backed Nets14c7,504$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.597255.6%40 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d6…aa44backed Nets14c7,352$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.815815.5%9 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Nets0c7,129$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.698783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Nets8c6,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nets4c4,795$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.562,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Nets0c4,742$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.115502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Nets11c4,355$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.081,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Nets1c3,896$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.57211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets14c3,050$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4271,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Nets0c2,785$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.27502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9599…3c20backed Nets8c2,564$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006428.1%18 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-40.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc93a…8b69backed Nets14c2,379$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3331233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Nets17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34011144.1%49 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a3…8a3dbacked Nets18c1,669$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Nets3c1,600$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5118549.2%91 W · 94 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb644…d6e1backed Nets6c1,600$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda48…7278backed Nets15c1,600$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bec…129abacked Nets14c1,577$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Nets2c1,505$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.63345.5%15 W · 18 L+5.0wins+0.15per pick30cpaid+3.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Nets7c1,500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11065218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Nets15c1,400$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21012143%52 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Nets12c1,391$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16043352.2%226 W · 207 L+19.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Nets7c1,364$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029037.9%110 W · 180 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed Nets15c1,300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19534942.7%149 W · 200 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked Nets15c1,133$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17011558.3%67 W · 48 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3baf…1579backed Nets4c1,100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23b…24f9backed Nets14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1404951%25 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5be…46cebacked Nets3c925.93$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255911.9%7 W · 52 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-40.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Nets12c829.29$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.381,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fa4…a1bfbacked Nets3c790.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.314035%14 W · 26 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-41.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Nets15c700$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10549142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Nets15c700$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10525236.9%93 W · 159 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9621…b76cbacked Nets10c599.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622520%5 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-39.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x991e…3190backed Nets16c593.75$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958337.3%31 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe35…d34abacked Nets17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008823.9%21 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfa5…3f52backed Nets9c571.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503625%9 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2862…b2ddbacked Nets14c535.71$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755635.7%20 W · 36 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcded…1f6dbacked Nets15c529.52$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick18cpaid+67.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7e4…f06fbacked Nets15c501.48$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.22666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+37.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x699b…fb32backed Nets3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155123.5%12 W · 39 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick17cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab26…0c0cbacked Nets6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030619.9%61 W · 245 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3f…0a9bbacked Nets16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808454.8%46 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad23…47c4backed Nets4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203933.3%13 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Nets2c432.16$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010836.1%39 W · 69 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x559e…7fe2backed Nets10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014062.9%88 W · 52 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9977…085fbacked Nets14c400$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5616617.5%29 W · 137 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Nets16c400$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6451037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Nets17c397.5$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.582,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd334…fcc2backed Nets14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024725.9%64 W · 183 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Nets15c350$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5224835.1%87 W · 161 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3529…a599backed Nets15c331.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507445.9%34 W · 40 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x575e…5b86backed Nets15c331$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.653243.8%14 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbe0…2576backed Nets15c300$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469033.3%30 W · 60 L+10.9wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+22.4%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Nets10c295.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.593,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2a0…d410backed Nets16c292.5$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick32cpaid-76.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1fbc…3099backed Nets7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205156.9%29 W · 22 L+8.0wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+48%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Nets15c265.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.873,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2fe…3c2fbacked Nets8c262.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+81.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcb9…4734backed Nets10c258$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.944843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff27…1a68backed Nets8c251.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203016.7%5 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3902…43f8backed Nets8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205424.1%13 W · 41 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6be0…bed8backed Nets8c249.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.95425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-50%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x909d…f6f0backed Nets16c239.81$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.371844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+76.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24cf…9156backed Nets14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302035%7 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54db…e47bbacked Nets10c202.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203633.3%12 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Nets10c201.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.462848.7%306 W · 322 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaea…b079backed Nets15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308733.3%29 W · 58 L-0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a30…fca1backed Nets14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Nets15c199.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3060834.4%209 W · 399 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Nets13c180$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.42828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fab…01e9backed Nets15c168.26$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-79%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9e4…3fd9backed Nets13c160$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.82951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc6…c936backed Nets10c153.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515547.1%73 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70a8…6dfdbacked Nets9c150.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1416325.2%41 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e2d…4323backed Nets7c150$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Nets14c148.56$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6543321.2%92 W · 341 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd815…a07ebacked Nets19c147.37$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1c…f784backed Nets14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203836.8%14 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0774…99febacked Nets14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204542.2%19 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e14…8d33backed Nets7c140.37$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.222619.2%5 W · 21 L-5.1wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-61.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0c48…327abacked Nets8c136.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Nets15c134.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1934246.8%160 W · 182 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x81d6…bec9backed Nets15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202157.1%12 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+35.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Nets16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2048948.5%237 W · 252 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4d4…6cc1backed Nets17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1aa…054ebacked Nets17c110.24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.746839.7%27 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x372b…cbf5backed Nets16c105.81$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.932425%6 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8fe…6e46backed Nets14c102$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.28757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7784…3dc9backed Nets14c101$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.14714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick36cpaid-66.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Nets17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177657.9%44 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.