MLB · resolved market
Royals vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c7d6f21c1268dec035ce23cfa45a9cccb897318885a719d82d400936f644f27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royalsof Royals, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $201,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $207,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc605…d372backed Royals | 77c | 35,506$27,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,041.45 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Mariners | 18c | 23,805$4,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,255.05 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Mariners | 39c | 20,161$7,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,763.45 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Royals | 44c | 15,204$6,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,515.73 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners | 17c | 13,840$2,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,372.53 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners | 19c | 13,689$2,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,615.9 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Mariners | 41c | 9,486$3,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,880.97 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mariners | 28c | 4,713$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.3 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mariners | 39c | 3,253$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.72 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Mariners | 25c | 2,975$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Royals | 79c | 2,879$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.62 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Royals | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.98 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Royals | 44c | 2,500$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.96 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 56c | 2,448$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.83 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Mariners | 38c | 2,344$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Mariners | 24c | 2,337$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.83 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…398cbacked Mariners | 15c | 2,061$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.15 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Mariners | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Mariners | 28c | 1,983$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.24 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Mariners | 9c | 1,806$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…029ebacked Royals | 79c | 1,726$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.45 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Royals | 75c | 1,346$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.52 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…5279backed Mariners | 24c | 1,281$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.99 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Royals | 79c | 1,265$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.17 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3382…dcfbbacked Mariners | 56c | 1,246$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd9…3dabbacked Royals | 44c | 1,246$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Mariners | 41c | 1,228$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Mariners | 28c | 1,138$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.2 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Mariners | 2c | 1,088$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…4ebabacked Mariners | 26c | 1,068$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.54 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Mariners | 3c | 1,001$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Mariners | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Royals | 43c | 999.98$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Mariners | 29c | 993.11$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.13 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd02d…efaebacked Mariners | 24c | 961.28$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.33 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Mariners | 30c | 822.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Mariners | 52c | 797.13$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 623 | 46.2%288 W · 335 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9850…4708backed Mariners | 25c | 785.69$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.72 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Royals | 44c | 751.87$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.05 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Royals | 43c | 739.51$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.72 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9591…7951backed Mariners | 54c | 739.49$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.18 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…4038backed Royals | 79c | 620.74$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.41 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Royals | 78c | 616.73$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.06 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Mariners | 17c | 592.91$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.58 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Mariners | 30c | 585$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.1 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Mariners | 22c | 555$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.1 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Mariners | 4c | 549.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Royals | 79c | 546.62$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.79 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…8590backed Mariners | 34c | 533.39$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Royals | 52c | 512.74$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.39 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mariners | 21c | 508.95$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.13 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Mariners | 23c | 497.09$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mariners | 25c | 478.36$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.15 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Mariners | 56c | 450$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Mariners | 56c | 442.99$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.07 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Royals | 71c | 442.7$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.38 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Royals | 44c | 414.9$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.26 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…896fbacked Mariners | 32c | 400$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…767ebacked Mariners | 21c | 384.44$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.92 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Mariners | 28c | 382.14$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Mariners | 3c | 337$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Mariners | 56c | 333.04$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.5 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mariners | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Royals | 45c | 300$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mariners | 56c | 299.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.99 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafa8…4280backed Mariners | 7c | 285$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Royals | 44c | 270.01$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.8 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Royals | 68c | 261.14$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.75 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…7bbebacked Royals | 45c | 242.26$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.17 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Royals | 43c | 233$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.81 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef7…bd03backed Mariners | 29c | 232.52$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.75 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Royals | 44c | 228$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.68 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Royals | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Mariners | 57c | 221.05$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Mariners | 57c | 204$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.28 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Mariners | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b8…f035backed Mariners | 29c | 184.82$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Royals | 54c | 183.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.54 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf14d…4c11backed Royals | 44c | 180.43$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.04 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Mariners | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Mariners | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 181 | 55.8%101 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Mariners | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9045…321abacked Mariners | 27c | 167.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f85…da50backed Mariners | 57c | 164.91$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -9.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Mariners | 28c | 160.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Mariners | 25c | 153$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…9f26backed Mariners | 18c | 137.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d33…1d5dbacked Royals | 76c | 135.8$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a00…c3cbbacked Royals | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Mariners | 57c | 127.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.68 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090f…f5aabacked Royals | 44c | 120.82$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…487dbacked Royals | 45c | 119.11$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.51 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9e…ca58backed Mariners | 57c | 115.7$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.95 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x568b…983abacked Mariners | 27c | 114.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa588…2972backed Mariners | 56c | 113.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.12 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked Royals | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Mariners | 21c | 108.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb06…99d4backed Mariners | 56c | 108.7$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.87 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Mariners | 35c | 107.26$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…c5e1backed Mariners | 30c | 103.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.