TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Mariners vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Marinersof Mariners, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$250,875
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$268,684

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,875 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9708…925bbacked Rangers48c116,954$56,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,068.5416643.4%72 W · 94 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Mariners51c50,108$25,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,659.135854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Mariners52c38,761$20,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,514.5786751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Mariners55c27,740$15,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,351.0818837.8%71 W · 117 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Rangers48c10,417$4,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,998.853150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rangers52c9,611$4,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,993.069,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Rangers50c8,588$4,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,311.5397950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c54…da75backed Mariners44c7,987$3,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,509.942040%8 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Mariners52c6,462$3,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,101.6250852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Rangers39c5,854$2,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,279.292236.4%8 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-32.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rangers11c5,639$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.091,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mariners52c5,500$2,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6401,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Mariners52c5,130$2,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,463.741850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Mariners53c3,250$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53069249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers59c2,904$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,726.882,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3013…e276backed Mariners57c2,267$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.971090%9 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.34per pick56cpaid+62.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd1e0…8913backed Mariners53c2,104$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.777758.4%45 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Mariners25c2,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50015745.2%71 W · 86 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Mariners48c1,681$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.1513946.8%65 W · 74 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mariners52c1,603$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.941,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x674d…def3backed Mariners52c1,545$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.5914444.4%64 W · 80 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rangers46c1,532$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.721,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f2c…a1c2backed Mariners53c1,509$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.435558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Mariners62c1,454$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.9432852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Mariners38c1,433$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.6718349.2%90 W · 93 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Rangers34c1,375$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.5640547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Rangers52c1,259$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.2923752.7%125 W · 112 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc43…398cbacked Mariners51c1,250$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.775429.6%16 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Mariners46c1,077$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.7731248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Rangers55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Mariners49c915.48$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.3526847.4%127 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba9e…97c0backed Mariners53c913.79$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.481662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeefb…d354backed Rangers48c912.5$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4381637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f8b…b3d7backed Rangers49c902.76$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.075633.9%19 W · 37 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Rangers55c879$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.4565549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Rangers43c800$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34432042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x72cf…69aebacked Mariners53c754.72$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.723948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb142…cd11backed Mariners47c753.69$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.4618748.1%90 W · 97 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf64a…27c9backed Rangers80c727.45$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.965545.5%25 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Mariners53c650$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.51,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff24…76c1backed Mariners53c583.6$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.769332.3%30 W · 63 L-16.8wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-36.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Rangers47c555.43$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.0595850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf8d6…0062backed Rangers12c555.16$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.776746.3%31 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Mariners54c551.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.5438455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb42d…e428backed Rangers12c544.95$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.132740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6111…c02fbacked Rangers12c538.33$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.055939%23 W · 36 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Rangers3c529.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.292488.9%22 W · 226 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-77.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Mariners50c520.64$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.6413450%67 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x226d…f49ebacked Mariners41c488.91$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.913636.1%13 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid+3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Mariners53c471.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.728447.5%135 W · 149 L-20.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rangers47c452.74$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.7973352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Mariners49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20445248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9850…4708backed Mariners50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Mariners28c359.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.327213.6%37 W · 235 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Mariners26c331.69$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.456357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Rangers7c320$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.416725.1%42 W · 125 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Rangers48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1443,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5085…d8a4backed Mariners37c250$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-55%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Rangers19c250$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.527733.6%93 W · 184 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe98b…780dbacked Rangers54c235.19$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12715151%77 W · 74 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Mariners69c230.74$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0480680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x7541…09d1backed Rangers44c229.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006738.8%26 W · 41 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Rangers57c223.96$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12796133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Mariners52c217.5$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.471751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Mariners52c209$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3240548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Mariners53c199.99$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Rangers46c199.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.992,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Mariners39c199.85$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.9110834.3%37 W · 71 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Mariners55c181.91$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.9114753.7%79 W · 68 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Rangers39c180$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.234051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef7…bd03backed Rangers10c176.43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186251.6%32 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9839…040ebacked Rangers46c174$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0414146.8%66 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x467a…0727backed Rangers43c172.09$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-31.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb58…0e11backed Rangers54c164.22$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2842955%236 W · 193 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x697b…0d4ebacked Rangers58c158.01$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.652544%11 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Rangers46c157.21$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.325,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Rangers44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6638249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Rangers47c148.6$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1785047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Mariners75c142.84$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.831,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73c4…a92dbacked Mariners31c141.94$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.945944.1%26 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rangers50c141.47$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.234,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Mariners52c140.51$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.731,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa842…08e5backed Rangers73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-41.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x19d3…d2e3backed Rangers69c129.69$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.78666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c88…5685backed Mariners31c129.03$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.037753.2%41 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Rangers17c125$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.251,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3885…35debacked Mariners53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Rangers48c115.35$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.371,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Mariners73c110$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.968769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x90b6…ba49backed Mariners33c95.96$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.299158.2%53 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb617…ea50backed Mariners62c92.15$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.711040%4 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick70cpaid-44.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3b2c…284cbacked Mariners54c87.04$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0428453.9%153 W · 131 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa365…d26ebacked Mariners58c86.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4414052.9%74 W · 66 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Mariners43c84.82$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3417754.8%97 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53f9…e920backed Mariners52c84.62$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.622540%10 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Mariners36c83.09$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0917930.2%54 W · 125 L-9.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Mariners52c83$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8451955.3%287 W · 232 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5992…9e40backed Rangers49c81.94$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Mariners53c75.87$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.871,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Mariners53c70$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5941751.3%214 W · 203 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.