MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a35ef5a1d4b49362e09694854eb7f4b2f75ab66080c193d3f5899b1ae9d299d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Reds, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,880
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,459
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,880 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Red Sox | 52c | 4,516$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,182.1 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Red Sox | 52c | 4,163$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.14 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Reds | 47c | 3,393$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.55 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox | 53c | 3,256$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.26 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Reds | 48c | 3,001$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.48 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Reds | 37c | 2,710$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.52 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Red Sox | 52c | 2,094$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.72 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Reds | 50c | 1,996$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Red Sox | 74c | 1,965$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.81 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Red Sox | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Reds | 47c | 1,880$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.6 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Reds | 47c | 1,839$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.44 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Red Sox | 53c | 1,808$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.82 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddcd…5581backed Reds | 47c | 1,750$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Red Sox | 73c | 1,578$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.06 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Reds | 45c | 1,555$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.43 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Reds | 26c | 1,552$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.75 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Reds | 28c | 1,537$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.08 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Red Sox | 53c | 1,509$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.43 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Red Sox | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Red Sox | 61c | 1,470$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.43 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Red Sox | 53c | 1,264$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.08 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…cac8backed Reds | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Reds | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Red Sox | 50c | 891.26$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.63 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Reds | 47c | 858.1$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.31 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Red Sox | 73c | 819.93$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.93 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Reds | 39c | 720.51$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Reds | 49c | 510.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.38 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Reds | 49c | 441.98$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.57 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Reds | 42c | 422.6$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.14 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Red Sox | 73c | 412.16$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.16 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Red Sox | 61c | 402.96$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.15 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda71…db66backed Red Sox | 75c | 402.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.51 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Reds | 49c | 389.66$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.93 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Red Sox | 53c | 350$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.92 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5d…17febacked Reds | 46c | 346.87$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Reds | 32c | 344$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.08 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Reds | 26c | 303.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.97 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Reds | 48c | 299.98$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…896fbacked Reds | 25c | 295.34$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.84 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Red Sox | 65c | 273$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.86 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…5279backed Reds | 40c | 272.43$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.97 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1cd9backed Reds | 48c | 271.54$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.34 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Reds | 26c | 235.48$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.13 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Sox | 68c | 234.87$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.63 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Reds | 48c | 234.01$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.85 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Red Sox | 64c | 230$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Reds | 34c | 217.44$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Reds | 47c | 213$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Reds | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…273bbacked Reds | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Reds | 48c | 198.35$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.21 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Red Sox | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Reds | 39c | 180$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Red Sox | 53c | 169.09$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.47 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 32c | 166.62$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Reds | 48c | 157.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.38 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Reds | 42c | 157$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.59 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Red Sox | 69c | 145.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.09 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbc…5d23backed Red Sox | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Reds | 37c | 137$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.36 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…4ebabacked Reds | 40c | 136.2$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Reds | 40c | 136.2$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4078…22ddbacked Red Sox | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…21d0backed Red Sox | 76c | 131.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Reds | 47c | 130.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Reds | 47c | 129.68$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Reds | 40c | 123.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d9…b3e3backed Reds | 48c | 116$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…1617backed Reds | 48c | 111.6$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…dc24backed Reds | 48c | 110.35$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Reds | 50c | 105$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x095e…a0a9backed Reds | 48c | 104.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5503…4f5fbacked Red Sox | 53c | 103.13$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd621…bc07backed Reds | 31c | 102.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…609dbacked Red Sox | 53c | 100.96$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…956abacked Reds | 48c | 100.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe7…a1a1backed Red Sox | 53c | 100.02$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Reds | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x278f…0d78backed Red Sox | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 72cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb80…7afabacked Red Sox | 53c | 99.15$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc8…a67cbacked Reds | 48c | 98.73$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Reds | 47c | 98.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e37…5e19backed Red Sox | 53c | 97.36$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x784b…489dbacked Red Sox | 53c | 97.15$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…5d04backed Red Sox | 53c | 96.42$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b6…abe2backed Red Sox | 53c | 94.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…e6b1backed Reds | 48c | 94.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Red Sox | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43db…f7b8backed Reds | 48c | 94.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…63b7backed Reds | 48c | 93.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ed…16c2backed Red Sox | 53c | 92.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefd7…6f4ebacked Red Sox | 53c | 92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x925e…c71ebacked Red Sox | 53c | 91.02$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e18…3905backed Red Sox | 53c | 90.74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba45…527bbacked Reds | 48c | 88.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…ff23backed Reds | 48c | 88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Red Sox | 73c | 87.88$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Red Sox | 48c | 86.23$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.43 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.