MLB · resolved market
Rockies vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8126ee72a8093f27bbe45c5c381aeafc5603045d3f3dd5e00289f0d5ecbdc84e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Rockies, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $173,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Rockies | 32c | 76,090$24,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,297.68 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Reds | 68c | 44,444$30,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,222.08 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Reds | 68c | 43,468$29,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,909.71 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Reds | 70c | 10,669$7,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150.14 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Reds | 68c | 10,000$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Reds | 68c | 10,000$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Rockies | 30c | 5,698$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Reds | 69c | 5,545$3,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.47 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Reds | 68c | 3,610$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.3 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…3295backed Reds | 77c | 3,269$2,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rockies | 11c | 3,213$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.18 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Reds | 78c | 3,090$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.84 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Rockies | 31c | 2,921$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.55 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Reds | 68c | 2,484$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.94 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…7ad7backed Rockies | 1c | 1,687$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Reds | 65c | 1,531$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.74 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Reds | 67c | 1,295$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.07 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Reds | 79c | 1,262$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.32 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rockies | 31c | 1,126$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.24 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rockies | 6c | 1,000$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Rockies | 32c | 993.16$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.27 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies | 29c | 876.55$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.92 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rockies | 35c | 854.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Rockies | 15c | 633.45$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.97 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Rockies | 32c | 628.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rockies | 30c | 585.69$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.71 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Rockies | 3c | 575$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Rockies | 30c | 499.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Reds | 78c | 463.8$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.76 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Rockies | 4c | 445$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb5…1742backed Rockies | 15c | 444.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f91…fc95backed Reds | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Reds | 69c | 363.73$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Reds | 72c | 355$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.9 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Rockies | 25c | 346.72$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.68 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rockies | 28c | 337.63$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.47 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Rockies | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Rockies | 34c | 296.32$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 70c | 285.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.87 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Rockies | 25c | 284.07$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Rockies | 31c | 281.63$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.31 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Rockies | 29c | 258$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.52 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Rockies | 30c | 210$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Rockies | 28c | 201.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Reds | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rockies | 25c | 193.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Reds | 72c | 154.1$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Reds | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Reds | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Reds | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…b3f2backed Rockies | 18c | 124.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Rockies | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…9d12backed Reds | 74c | 113.89$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Reds | 70c | 110$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5737…2eb2backed Reds | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Rockies | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…2782backed Reds | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rockies | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Reds | 70c | 92.54$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Reds | 69c | 92$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Reds | 69c | 90$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dca…f2d2backed Rockies | 33c | 84.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3cf…b382backed Reds | 69c | 84.06$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf211…ffdfbacked Reds | 70c | 61.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…9790backed Rockies | 31c | 61.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Reds | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…bd1ebacked Reds | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Rockies | 35c | 51.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Rockies | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Reds | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Reds | 68c | 49.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…de34backed Reds | 59c | 48.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Reds | 69c | 47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…fc22backed Reds | 62c | 46.68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76f…b8c3backed Rockies | 26c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Reds | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3407…897ebacked Rockies | 31c | 41.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Rockies | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2d…e348backed Reds | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 181 | 59.1%107 W · 74 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Reds | 66c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Reds | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Reds | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4917…16dabacked Reds | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x794f…5818backed Reds | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d68…c379backed Reds | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Reds | 65c | 23.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…c5fbbacked Reds | 72c | 22.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…4a98backed Reds | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef7…bd03backed Reds | 69c | 17.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0c…c7c9backed Reds | 70c | 17.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d1…5129backed Reds | 76c | 16.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ae…29f1backed Reds | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.