TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Rangers vs. Twins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Twinsof Rangers, Twins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,341
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,282

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,341 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b5e…83f8backed Twins57c5,204$2,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,241.5214747.6%70 W · 77 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2354…20d0backed Rangers0c5,130$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204043.5%14 W · 390 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-59.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Rangers51c4,209$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,149.9969249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…612abacked Rangers43c2,331$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Rangers5c2,300$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12425416.1%41 W · 213 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Rangers45c1,876$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.931,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Twins79c1,744$1,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.6354941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Twins57c1,630$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.891,92253.4%1,027 W · 895 L+28.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Rangers43c1,395$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001,01251.2%518 W · 494 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Twins75c1,386$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.1440547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rangers43c1,211$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.731,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Twins43c1,138$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.789,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Twins57c999.95$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.9817248.8%84 W · 88 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Twins57c999.94$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.9895950.1%480 W · 479 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Rangers43c969$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.6776456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Rangers4c800$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.54754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x07cb…743cbacked Rangers52c769.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011357.5%65 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Rangers41c764.9$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.9997950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Rangers2c613.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.825053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Twins55c550.22$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.075,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Twins78c528.35$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.9286751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Rangers43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21571751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Rangers42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21050852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Twins57c496.65$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.5637446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Twins57c477.02$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.122,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ae7…91debacked Rangers43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcce…136abacked Twins58c431.03$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.0329240.8%119 W · 173 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4583…0bb9backed Twins58c430.98$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.0112552.8%66 W · 59 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6407…7d12backed Twins59c423.73$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.7318247.8%87 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Twins54c409.43$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.912,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Rangers44c399.97$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.993,30346.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc028…9349backed Rangers57c380.18$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.76046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Rangers41c376.93$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.5444443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Rangers32c359.96$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11452542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Rangers5c337$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.378762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe10e…cfddbacked Rangers5c320.49$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.359824.5%24 W · 74 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Twins64c315.38$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.6963942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe25e…0aa5backed Twins55c299.97$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.9814549.7%72 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39a8…f170backed Rangers50c286.18$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.721936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25ea…3f00backed Rangers28c250$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+24.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d91…ebcebacked Twins59c243.12$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.682934.5%10 W · 19 L-5.3wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-38.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9599…be88backed Rangers5c240$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1225511.8%30 W · 225 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Rangers45c232$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.499951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Twins45c218.96$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.4351334.5%177 W · 336 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc923…f0adbacked Rangers42c210.12$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.253053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe768…9d43backed Twins77c203.5$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3819650.5%99 W · 97 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d3…e21dbacked Rangers12c196.83$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Twins58c181.89$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.744,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a2…42e4backed Twins59c173.41$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.12450%12 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x944a…a9adbacked Rangers31c162.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503630.6%11 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5505…3a83backed Rangers45c155.56$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010552.4%55 W · 50 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xacbc…4b92backed Rangers43c152.54$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.594438.6%17 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b40…80a4backed Rangers43c147.07$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.242944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x221a…1cadbacked Rangers42c137.56$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.123148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Rangers39c131.91$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5217744.1%78 W · 99 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cd0…e934backed Rangers42c130.55$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8330%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x891b…f433backed Rangers42c121.38$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9830%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe347…5051backed Rangers45c121$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.45850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83e5…6d2dbacked Twins57c119$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.17250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f5a…1d01backed Rangers43c116.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.32642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb05a…398bbacked Rangers43c116.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.13148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49dd…25cbbacked Rangers43c106.26$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Twins66c104$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3165549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff0…7881backed Twins60c103.35$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.342842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a46…6e69backed Twins59c102.9$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.192763%17 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0624…faafbacked Twins59c102.15$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.883148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Twins72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2851953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb130…6ee2backed Rangers45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4512249.2%60 W · 62 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18be…add4backed Rangers22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Rangers45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9228…e41abacked Rangers38c98$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2417732.8%58 W · 119 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Rangers42c96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.322,05053.8%1,103 W · 947 L+33.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Twins59c93.22$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2278454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5241…f648backed Rangers43c93.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409747.4%46 W · 51 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Rangers43c92.37$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7233349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51e9…a50ebacked Twins59c91.19$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.39475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c11…719fbacked Rangers43c91.03$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.142751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8dc…4009backed Rangers43c90.72$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf44f…9756backed Rangers42c88.43$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.142763%17 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5303…5286backed Twins59c88.12$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd441…2338backed Twins59c88.1$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.122751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9858…2a5fbacked Rangers43c87.33$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.553339.4%13 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Rangers23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020645.1%93 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d28…c041backed Twins59c85.78$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.17540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4ee…2198backed Rangers45c85$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.25966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+39.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e33…ce38backed Twins56c83.78$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.47633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8884…6ec8backed Twins59c83.44$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.21475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac03…5e74backed Rangers42c82.93$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.83560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0d0…2811backed Rangers42c81.79$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.35425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54bb…c463backed Twins58c81.5$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.233100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+70.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe653…ac06backed Rangers43c81.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Rangers44c80$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.296133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Rangers43c79.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.41,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…c6e1backed Twins59c79.51$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e38…c01bbacked Rangers43c79.07$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2007…c513backed Twins59c78.25$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe84e…2d6ebacked Twins59c78.19$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.06475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Rangers42c74.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4943542.1%183 W · 252 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.