MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x430f093cf58eaec070b7f6c7394a009d24f0a2f1a4d6b41fd542b67566ba6d22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- White Soxof Mariners, White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Mariners | 62c | 8,499$5,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,269.6 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed White Sox | 38c | 6,928$2,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,319.57 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Mariners | 47c | 4,648$2,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172.67 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked White Sox | 51c | 4,176$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.93 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed White Sox | 58c | 2,681$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.51 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked White Sox | 48c | 2,448$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.03 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed White Sox | 63c | 2,300$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked White Sox | 38c | 2,095$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.52 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Mariners | 19c | 1,961$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.73 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed White Sox | 54c | 1,894$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.52 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Mariners | 52c | 1,679$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed White Sox | 54c | 1,629$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.35 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Mariners | 63c | 1,407$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.2 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Mariners | 50c | 1,200$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.95 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked White Sox | 38c | 1,160$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.28 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Mariners | 46c | 1,065$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.7 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Mariners | 44c | 1,023$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.95 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5413backed Mariners | 42c | 1,000$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.76 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Mariners | 9c | 1,000$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Mariners | 37c | 846.99$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.73 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed White Sox | 50c | 720.14$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.92 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked White Sox | 36c | 676.64$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.03 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9938…c7e8backed Mariners | 64c | 674.64$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.77 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Mariners | 39c | 647.64$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.14 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa26a…6d6ebacked White Sox | 51c | 627.01$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.01 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Mariners | 64c | 625.41$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.21 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Mariners | 55c | 619.18$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked White Sox | 37c | 611.17$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.07 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Mariners | 59c | 563.66$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.28 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed White Sox | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1475…e632backed Mariners | 46c | 437.08$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.42 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Mariners | 46c | 434.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed White Sox | 45c | 396.13$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.92 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed White Sox | 36c | 367.45$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.17 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Mariners | 52c | 355.77$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Mariners | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Mariners | 41c | 350$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked White Sox | 54c | 336.09$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.24 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3def…08b4backed Mariners | 63c | 314.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mariners | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Mariners | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Mariners | 14c | 286.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked White Sox | 56c | 266.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mariners | 62c | 240.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mariners | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed White Sox | 51c | 225$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked White Sox | 62c | 224.44$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.29 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Mariners | 63c | 203.6$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.27 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Mariners | 63c | 190.48$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked White Sox | 71c | 174.87$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.71 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mariners | 28c | 163.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…a6dbbacked Mariners | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…f8edbacked Mariners | 63c | 142.89$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.02 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x297e…7208backed White Sox | 38c | 137.37$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked White Sox | 35c | 130.77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed White Sox | 58c | 126.55$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.06 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Mariners | 42c | 126$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe300…f71abacked Mariners | 64c | 117.17$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.6 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Mariners | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed White Sox | 38c | 107.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.12 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x181f…6690backed Mariners | 42c | 103.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Mariners | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed White Sox | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5737…2eb2backed White Sox | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5547…ca51backed Mariners | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…0646backed Mariners | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Mariners | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed White Sox | 36c | 89.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.59 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…dfddbacked Mariners | 17c | 85.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked White Sox | 56c | 81.68$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba2d…059ebacked Mariners | 63c | 81.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Mariners | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb20e…022bbacked Mariners | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Mariners | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Mariners | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ab…cdcbbacked Mariners | 65c | 77.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x969b…7f79backed White Sox | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 72cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x474a…2071backed White Sox | 39c | 72.21$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…f8e0backed Mariners | 64c | 72.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda8…bf64backed Mariners | 64c | 70.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked White Sox | 39c | 65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfda1…fa08backed Mariners | 63c | 55.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mariners | 24c | 54.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4773…440abacked Mariners | 54c | 46.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f95…cd47backed Mariners | 43c | 46.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b8…f54cbacked Mariners | 42c | 43.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94da…0800backed Mariners | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b8…2d83backed White Sox | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64fa…61d1backed White Sox | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Mariners | 64c | 34.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Mariners | 63c | 31.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Mariners | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1971…c2c4backed Mariners | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 63cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a9…e358backed Mariners | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3539…b17bbacked Mariners | 43c | 30.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mariners | 40c | 30.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Mariners | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed White Sox | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed White Sox | 37c | 28.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce7…ae0dbacked White Sox | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.