TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Rockies vs. Red Sox

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Red Soxof Rockies, Red Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$181,534
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$209,133

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,534 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rockies17c18,170$3,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,022.831,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies22c14,349$3,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,121.732,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Red Sox68c11,754$7,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,761.2813065.4%85 W · 45 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3510…50bfbacked Red Sox69c9,996$6,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,098.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06bf…a9ddbacked Rockies31c9,996$3,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,098.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Rockies32c9,000$2,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,839.9838249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc623…9afdbacked Red Sox69c8,696$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,695.6513553.3%72 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rockies32c6,769$2,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,165.391,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rockies13c4,579$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.729,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Rockies31c4,162$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.1938949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Rockies9c3,947$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.696,30248.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L+181.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Rockies25c3,787$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.61,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rockies31c3,630$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.781,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a34…5636backed Red Sox69c2,753$1,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.392100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockies31c2,343$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.321,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Rockies20c2,286$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44996133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Red Sox69c2,200$1,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68269249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed48…51f9backed Red Sox69c2,174$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.94650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Red Sox67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.9732852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Rockies32c2,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.934245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbd6…c483backed Red Sox69c1,929$1,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.99650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0a…f43abacked Rockies31c1,900$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab04…7ecdbacked Rockies31c1,900$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x475e…f5fcbacked Rockies31c1,900$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d0a…f3fcbacked Rockies31c1,700$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebc1…1d10backed Rockies31c1,700$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Red Sox69c1,630$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.343654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ab7…d6eebacked Red Sox69c1,626$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.06650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Rockies6c1,544$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027213.6%37 W · 235 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbba5…cb7dbacked Red Sox65c1,539$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.42857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb833…56f2backed Red Sox69c1,471$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.01785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick50cpaid+78.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Red Sox68c1,403$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.8466645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Rockies34c1,342$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.6560249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockies31c1,332$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.822,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Red Sox71c1,315$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.8723938.5%92 W · 147 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Rockies32c1,250$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd7d…4d56backed Rockies33c1,200$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.2911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick36cpaid-80.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Red Sox67c1,159$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.5376456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rockies24c1,113$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.441,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Rockies10c1,111$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11068656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fda…01d5backed Red Sox69c1,100$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef4e…7deebacked Red Sox69c1,059$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.29771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Rockies33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33037446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Rockies33c949.14$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.2250852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Rockies2c862.36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.175053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Red Sox69c857.42$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.848254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedff…b635backed Red Sox69c841$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.71785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick62cpaid+39.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Rockies33c726.3$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.6843247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Rockies2c618.61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4497950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Rockies35c612$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.038032.5%26 W · 54 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ca4…fde7backed Red Sox67c609.99$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.16450%32 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Rockies31c599.96$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.993119.4%6 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-6.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Rockies3c565$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.954754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Rockies3c505.28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.048762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Rockies31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15531145.7%142 W · 169 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Rockies27c449.74$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.261,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Rockies30c399.97$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9944443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xacdf…0ec4backed Red Sox68c380.67$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.8119452.6%102 W · 92 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Rockies31c364.75$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.9995850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Red Sox69c360.58$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.5822546.2%104 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40b3…6159backed Red Sox69c348.71$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.14374.4%32 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Rockies12c342.49$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.341,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Rockies31c323$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1340548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Rockies33c299.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb653…85a4backed Rockies32c296.41$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8514148.2%68 W · 73 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Rockies17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027733.6%93 W · 184 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Sox69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.862,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Red Sox69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.861,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Rockies31c286.57$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.8485047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd671…315ebacked Rockies32c283$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25cc…3601backed Rockies33c279.84$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3510550.5%53 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…fa1dbacked Red Sox72c278.85$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.856154.1%33 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc758…772cbacked Rockies32c267$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Rockies31c264.98$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8326642.1%112 W · 154 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa80…b6c1backed Rockies7c245.53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2330%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Red Sox65c230.22$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.585,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Sox68c220.59$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.592,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Red Sox68c211$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.522,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Rockies13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2650447.2%238 W · 266 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Rockies33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6617139.2%67 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Rockies30c199.94$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.981,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4dd…6a9ebacked Rockies10c199.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-54.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Rockies31c187.53$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1349250.4%248 W · 244 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8485…c13ebacked Rockies33c186.48$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5416552.1%86 W · 79 L+12.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9839…040ebacked Rockies33c182$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0614146.8%66 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x232e…b1eebacked Red Sox70c161.64$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.491190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.23per pick67cpaid+33.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a7b…7f21backed Red Sox69c159.42$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.421346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick63cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rockies16c156.22$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.594,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe09…dec4backed Rockies13c150$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.530%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Red Sox68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0656351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f91…fc95backed Red Sox68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.063562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+30.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Red Sox68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0631356.2%176 W · 137 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd10…f4bcbacked Red Sox69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.932661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7b6…cfe5backed Red Sox70c143.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.492040%8 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-32.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb091…2017backed Red Sox80c135.84$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1731254.5%170 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1946…8a1fbacked Red Sox68c132.35$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.352661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b90…0d94backed Red Sox69c124$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd92a…39dcbacked Red Sox69c119.87$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Red Sox69c113$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0351955.3%287 W · 232 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8b9f…1e40backed Red Sox68c102.43$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.