TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Blue Jays vs. Rockies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blue Jaysof Blue Jays, Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,468
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,039

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,468 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb61f…9958backed Rockies2c6,835$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12027213.6%37 W · 235 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2354…20d0backed Rockies0c5,302$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154043.5%14 W · 390 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-59.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x18ca…9bf2backed Rockies35c5,101$1,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,785.355851.7%30 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9263…1999backed Rockies0c4,942$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.167416.2%12 W · 62 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick7cpaid+74.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Blue Jays79c4,789$3,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.731,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Rockies31c4,193$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29341747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Rockies33c3,792$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.0156451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Rockies34c3,618$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.2634245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Rockies1c3,447$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.164754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe84…779ebacked Blue Jays65c3,422$2,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.75947.5%28 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1275…5b87backed Rockies2c3,150$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.512924.8%32 W · 97 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-36.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8867…4bb7backed Blue Jays65c2,811$1,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.711770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked Blue Jays67c2,542$1,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.966749.3%33 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Blue Jays65c2,116$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.650852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Rockies33c1,740$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.1371751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Rockies36c1,735$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.7370946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Rockies2c1,686$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Blue Jays79c1,532$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.6421656%121 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Blue Jays65c1,500$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.9888549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays64c1,367$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.192,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Rockies28c1,353$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.9854345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Rockies2c1,256$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.355053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Rockies34c1,200$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.9938249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Blue Jays64c1,170$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.165,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Rockies34c1,100$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.9850843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Blue Jays65c1,092$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.0214453.5%77 W · 67 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rockies21c1,085$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.799,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Rockies33c1,079$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.971,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Blue Jays67c1,072$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.2866645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Rockies34c1,048$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.3124547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc623…9afdbacked Blue Jays67c1,045$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.7813553.3%72 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d09…2445backed Blue Jays65c900$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+32.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa581…45b2backed Blue Jays66c800.3$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.111463.2%72 W · 42 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Rockies33c710.99$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.6344443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Rockies35c701.32$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.4643247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8245…55a0backed Rockies36c685$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.612623.1%6 W · 20 L-5.2wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-49.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Rockies33c665.53$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.6231347.9%150 W · 163 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Blue Jays66c592.54$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.4625454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Blue Jays66c554.03$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.0322546.2%104 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Blue Jays65c516.77$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.8715944%70 W · 89 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8665…85ecbacked Blue Jays66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1701668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Rockies34c499.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17030850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67fd…2b74backed Rockies34c393.06$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.0616651.8%86 W · 80 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40f0…a193backed Blue Jays66c372.27$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.74055%22 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Rockies35c371$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.851,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Rockies17c365.57$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1610744.9%48 W · 59 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa8b…23d2backed Blue Jays66c365.45$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.253863.2%24 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Rockies33c350$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.551347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Rockies16c330$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.896133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bf7…cdb7backed Rockies23c329$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4145749.7%227 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Blue Jays66c304.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.582,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Rockies34c303.38$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.151,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Blue Jays66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.032,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Blue Jays66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.038052.5%42 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked Blue Jays66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.031384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick58cpaid+46.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Blue Jays66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10292754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ba9…bfaebacked Blue Jays67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5123060%138 W · 92 L-1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8485…c13ebacked Blue Jays66c298.45$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.4716552.1%86 W · 79 L+12.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Rockies35c298$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.32,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed Blue Jays65c291.68$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.095945.8%27 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xce6f…e87cbacked Blue Jays67c286.75$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.654647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Rockies35c285.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10056351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7381…5b63backed Blue Jays66c250$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8520648.1%99 W · 107 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Rockies35c225.71$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7999951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Rockies30c222.91$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2380680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Blue Jays75c200.56$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.254,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc970…a19bbacked Rockies35c200.4$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.141533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-41.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Rockies35c200.01$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Rockies34c199.95$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.982,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93b4…2486backed Blue Jays76c189.83$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5610255.9%57 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac5…fff5backed Blue Jays67c160.57$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.385152.9%27 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Blue Jays65c159.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc655…8467backed Rockies33c155$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1524351.4%125 W · 118 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Blue Jays67c153.87$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.781,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ef…5289backed Blue Jays66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5212459.7%74 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Blue Jays67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.52,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Rockies34c150$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5166751.9%346 W · 321 L+30.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cb5…da2cbacked Blue Jays67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2512355.3%68 W · 55 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Blue Jays67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.251,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d49…fb65backed Rockies36c148.83$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.582860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9587…cd8ebacked Rockies34c140$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.631244.2%138 W · 174 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Blue Jays72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8939160.4%236 W · 155 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Rockies28c138.89$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8938444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f9a…06d0backed Blue Jays66c132.77$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1417866.3%118 W · 60 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe782…e7d9backed Blue Jays65c120$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4212258.2%71 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Blue Jays66c120$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2285047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x367f…c41abacked Blue Jays66c103.68$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.252751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbd8…78b6backed Blue Jays65c101.8$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.632263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Rockies35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Rockies35c99.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3525440.6%103 W · 151 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c9c…492bbacked Blue Jays65c99.38$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.782454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Rockies35c90$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.524951.8%129 W · 120 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6439…d173backed Rockies36c88.17$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.742250%11 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ee4…b575backed Rockies35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3051245.1%231 W · 281 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ab…f2a9backed Rockies34c80$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.242651.2%218 W · 208 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd920…b7b6backed Blue Jays66c80$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.216752.1%87 W · 80 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e4c…0b39backed Rockies36c78$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.082544%11 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e99…b222backed Blue Jays65c75.17$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.221968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+33.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x57f8…1bc3backed Rockies36c72.39$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.061963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+35.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Blue Jays66c70$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.81,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.