TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Wizards

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Wizards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,272
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,864

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,272 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Wizards48c22,965$11,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,127.3818146.4%84 W · 97 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked 76ers48c10,360$4,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,422.861,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked 76ers50c9,253$4,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,649.4266853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed 76ers55c6,508$3,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,937.4920248%97 W · 105 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Wizards23c5,835$1,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.4625536.9%94 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed 76ers77c4,777$3,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.6633746.3%156 W · 181 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9758…536dbacked 76ers53c3,146$1,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.63450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Wizards44c3,000$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3101,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c95…0a3abacked 76ers37c2,500$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5753542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Wizards63c2,412$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.563158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Wizards49c1,878$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.3584150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Wizards48c1,580$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.162536%9 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-36.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked 76ers61c1,300$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50719149.7%95 W · 96 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Wizards55c1,015$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.461,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8083…4a0bbacked Wizards33c1,000$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32760%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Wizards29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2903458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd64e…025bbacked Wizards48c833$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.841330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4487…08c6backed Wizards48c733.94$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3493151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Wizards43c709.52$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.425054%27 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked 76ers52c618.9$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.078856.8%50 W · 38 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbcf…c26fbacked 76ers74c568.75$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.463060%18 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked 76ers71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14529957.2%171 W · 128 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Wizards59c499.99$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.996631.8%21 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Wizards63c499.93$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.9663555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed 76ers40c391.24$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.6718235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Wizards50c332.48$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.7360834.4%209 W · 399 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked 76ers37c299.86$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.1269337.8%262 W · 431 L+2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Wizards35c280.88$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.031,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9587…cd8ebacked 76ers48c275.99$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.365541.8%23 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Wizards63c270.99$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.7316361.3%100 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4775…c57dbacked Wizards37c210$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782035%7 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-39.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wizards49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10089353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Wizards49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9836057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Wizards50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Wizards50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed 76ers74c190.39$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3917769.5%123 W · 54 L-0.5wins0.00per pick70cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb16…96b5backed 76ers77c182.32$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.931861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+60.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Wizards63c178.29$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3275347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafbc…a8b5backed 76ers36c166.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.6615252%79 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03e8…8cc3backed Wizards64c164.84$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Wizards52c150.92$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.271,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeffa…928abacked 76ers37c149.98$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f64…ba01backed Wizards42c149.09$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6342740.3%172 W · 255 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1268…94e0backed 76ers71c142.17$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.237350.7%37 W · 36 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a6…7f82backed 76ers37c134.51$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.741030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Wizards54c128.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6648938.7%189 W · 300 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x031f…e9aebacked 76ers37c126.38$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.62850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x166a…5ba5backed Wizards20c125.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.332941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff1…3f4fbacked 76ers55c116.92$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.61862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Wizards45c112$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.41741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c8…6bf3backed Wizards50c108.06$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.03650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+46.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59be…c8f9backed Wizards49c103.92$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.921020%2 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-66.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe295…f556backed Wizards49c103.69$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.81520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-71%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9978…6c41backed 76ers52c103.65$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.751258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x833c…765ebacked 76ers52c103.62$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.74944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23da…a168backed Wizards50c103.18$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.59875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+40%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x977a…92efbacked 76ers51c102.73$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.341855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0c1…d033backed Wizards50c102.06$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.03955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Wizards49c101.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5090560.8%550 W · 355 L-2.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b30…6a04backed 76ers52c101.44$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.69580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+104.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6985…90e8backed 76ers52c100.73$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.351241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeed0…e5c0backed 76ers43c100.53$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.29955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a1d…003dbacked 76ers52c100.12$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.06728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-47.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Wizards49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.23231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fbc…5d23backed Wizards33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335149%25 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed 76ers48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523976.9%30 W · 9 L+6.9wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+30.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xae0e…6527backed 76ers56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+35.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Wizards51c99.98$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6843321.2%92 W · 341 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1a2…372abacked Wizards64c99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.362352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x433c…35bfbacked 76ers53c95.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.45540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f62…0ac2backed Wizards49c95.82$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.981136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dfa…f9b2backed 76ers52c94.77$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.49955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Wizards61c94$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3424330.9%75 W · 168 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5a6…e612backed Wizards49c90.02$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.11862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+39.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa66d…745fbacked Wizards59c89.12$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.58728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-50.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…b57cbacked Wizards59c88.18$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.37728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1ba…fbd8backed Wizards59c88.03$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.941118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.7wins-0.34per pick52cpaid-63.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xef5b…0780backed 76ers56c88$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf88e…e735backed Wizards49c87.59$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.92742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda32…92a9backed 76ers52c87.5$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x62d5…d4aabacked Wizards59c86.46$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.011154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x225f…e3a4backed Wizards50c84.42$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.21944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Wizards48c83.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.322,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4eb…154bbacked 76ers43c83.91$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.83580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick40cpaid+75.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xeed0…01e0backed 76ers41c81.32$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.981050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe85…9cadbacked 76ers41c81.22$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.921361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18ed…04cbbacked Wizards36c80$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.84959.2%29 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ae6…bd16backed 76ers41c79.56$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.94837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6771…b783backed 76ers47c79.36$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.277258.3%42 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x025d…371dbacked Wizards63c79.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.95955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a59…b88abacked Wizards64c79.27$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.731323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-53.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3b2c…284cbacked 76ers51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.439266.3%61 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe038…36b0backed 76ers37c77$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.512100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+141.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa249…12fabacked 76ers39c76.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.922857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb46…4fb0backed Wizards64c74.89$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.931338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick60cpaid-32.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ef1…7c5fbacked Wizards60c72.02$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.211190.9%10 W · 1 L+4.8wins+0.43per pick48cpaid+115.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x6932…e21cbacked 76ers51c70$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ea…83c8backed 76ers51c68.61$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8c…41ebbacked Wizards49c66.06$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee99…80e6backed 76ers52c65.83$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.