MLB · resolved market
Royals vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b023f87152e4c551f517f081fce268858693e4fb09ab523b6f1390279065399
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royalsof Royals, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $216,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $276,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 487 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Blue Jays | 5c | 16,782$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.1 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Blue Jays | 61c | 16,195$9,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,942.16 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Blue Jays | 5c | 14,886$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.28 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Royals | 40c | 5,707$2,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,423.91 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Royals | 41c | 5,111$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,015.48 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Blue Jays | 60c | 5,078$3,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,035.75 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 3,755$2,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,215.45 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 11c | 3,186$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.76 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Royals | 41c | 2,989$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,763.51 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Blue Jays | 60c | 2,923$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.7 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Blue Jays | 59c | 2,615$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.02 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Royals | 35c | 2,349$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.3 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Royals | 37c | 2,200$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Royals | 40c | 2,166$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.27 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Royals | 52c | 2,148$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.62 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Royals | 40c | 1,953$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.89 | 1,924 | 53.4%1,028 W · 896 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Blue Jays | 60c | 1,784$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.39 | 1,359 | 50.8%690 W · 669 L | +12.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Royals | 41c | 1,653$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.99 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ad…7cfabacked Royals | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Blue Jays | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.99 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Blue Jays | 70c | 1,481$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.11 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f5…0c82backed Blue Jays | 62c | 1,200$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Blue Jays | 17c | 1,191$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Royals | 40c | 1,105$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…f88ebacked Blue Jays | 62c | 1,100$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Royals | 41c | 1,099$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.55 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Royals | 40c | 1,041$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.52 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Blue Jays | 12c | 1,031$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.94 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Royals | 43c | 1,020$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.35 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Blue Jays | 2c | 1,020$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7d…7e36backed Blue Jays | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.99 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Royals | 40c | 999.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.98 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 31c | 814.6$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.76 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Royals | 40c | 800$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd1…4e2bbacked Royals | 38c | 800$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Royals | 39c | 783$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.63 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbccd…6aeebacked Blue Jays | 60c | 750$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Royals | 42c | 623.24$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.48 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Royals | 41c | 555.41$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.69 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2bf…2ab3backed Blue Jays | 60c | 555$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Blue Jays | 60c | 519.82$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.89 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 226 | 46.5%105 W · 121 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Royals | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Royals | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Blue Jays | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Royals | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 3,314 | 46.3%1,533 W · 1,781 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Royals | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Royals | 39c | 484.09$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.3 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…51e3backed Royals | 41c | 468.04$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.15 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26b6…3263backed Blue Jays | 12c | 423.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Blue Jays | 4c | 420.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Blue Jays | 5c | 420$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Blue Jays | 5c | 378.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Blue Jays | 19c | 365.05$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.58 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Royals | 42c | 357.35$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.35 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Royals | 40c | 350$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Royals | 39c | 349.54$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.55 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Royals | 41c | 339.02$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.02 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Royals | 31c | 327.87$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.23 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Royals | 32c | 327.87$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.95 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Royals | 41c | 320$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.8 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…d9d7backed Blue Jays | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Royals | 40c | 268.33$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.89 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Royals | 43c | 253.8$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.8 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed Blue Jays | 59c | 253.42$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…9d12backed Blue Jays | 61c | 250$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Royals | 40c | 248.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.78 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Royals | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Blue Jays | 58c | 239.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.19 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Royals | 42c | 239.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.31 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Royals | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Royals | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Royals | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Royals | 42c | 230$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.4 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 220.27$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.96 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Blue Jays | 43c | 212.7$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.33 | 4,197 | 50.2%2,106 W · 2,091 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Royals | 75c | 210.13$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Blue Jays | 59c | 206.6$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.89 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…e314backed Blue Jays | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a5…6751backed Blue Jays | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…afb5backed Royals | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…5b02backed Royals | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5936…4c34backed Blue Jays | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec0…8ee3backed Royals | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…9969backed Royals | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…d95cbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…ca51backed Blue Jays | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79d7…a553backed Royals | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…18d9backed Royals | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…d24cbacked Royals | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…1e7abacked Royals | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee1…a478backed Royals | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0900…ced0backed Royals | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe96b…3394backed Royals | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x144b…199ebacked Blue Jays | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -9.3wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa09e…0883backed Blue Jays | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fd…1753backed Blue Jays | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…70c6backed Royals | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33d6…e499backed Royals | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.