MLB · resolved market
Red Sox vs. Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba61581582c3284acb4801443364a568cac2cc35b6ed569fac9461004c3f2cd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bravesof Red Sox, Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Braves | 69c | 3,395$2,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.01 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox | 30c | 2,777$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…b955backed Braves | 63c | 2,013$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.81 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…320dbacked Red Sox | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves | 62c | 1,870$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.74 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Red Sox | 39c | 1,240$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.6 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Red Sox | 37c | 1,100$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Braves | 63c | 1,056$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.76 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Braves | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Red Sox | 5c | 969.72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Red Sox | 38c | 873.68$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Braves | 63c | 731.38$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.61 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Braves | 71c | 661.77$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.55 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Red Sox | 38c | 526.64$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.45 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Red Sox | 37c | 499.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Braves | 78c | 495.25$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.68 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Red Sox | 23c | 421.17$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.82 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Red Sox | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Braves | 60c | 331.63$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.65 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6979…d7a2backed Red Sox | 29c | 324.14$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Braves | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Red Sox | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Red Sox | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Red Sox | 27c | 295.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…0d0dbacked Red Sox | 38c | 277.47$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.84 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Red Sox | 36c | 221.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Braves | 72c | 205$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Braves | 63c | 199.98$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Braves | 60c | 175$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Braves | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Braves | 63c | 159.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.33 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Red Sox | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Red Sox | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Red Sox | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Red Sox | 37c | 121.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fb…2d11backed Red Sox | 38c | 120.68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.86 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Red Sox | 34c | 88.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf794…d782backed Braves | 63c | 78.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe128…243fbacked Red Sox | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…4979backed Braves | 61c | 75.41$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e20…5e20backed Red Sox | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b14…f400backed Braves | 63c | 72.44$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Red Sox | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Red Sox | 32c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Red Sox | 39c | 69.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Braves | 76c | 59.88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Red Sox | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Red Sox | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb130…6ee2backed Red Sox | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9022…b426backed Red Sox | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x87de…42bfbacked Braves | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +46%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Red Sox | 36c | 45.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Braves | 63c | 45.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Braves | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c8…4b32backed Red Sox | 39c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Red Sox | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Braves | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Red Sox | 37c | 31.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Red Sox | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…ff08backed Red Sox | 38c | 29.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Braves | 61c | 27.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.