MLB · resolved market
Braves vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef9aa264191b33532f80fc03ea3ab1c12248bd95ad83d99193b336b5c4767b46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Braves, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Cardinals | 55c | 18,490$10,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,375.17 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Braves | 41c | 10,726$4,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,397.62 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Braves | 71c | 6,993$4,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,947.36 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Braves | 29c | 6,197$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.35 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cardinals | 59c | 5,500$3,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Cardinals | 59c | 4,400$2,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804 | 496 | 50.2%249 W · 247 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Braves | 20c | 4,062$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.09 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Braves | 13c | 3,559$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.44 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Braves | 28c | 3,233$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.55 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Braves | 48c | 3,084$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.48 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 59c | 2,889$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.26 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cardinals | 41c | 2,487$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.8 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Braves | 40c | 2,466$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.4 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Braves | 64c | 2,309$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.57 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Cardinals | 60c | 1,818$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.2 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Cardinals | 34c | 1,765$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.71 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Braves | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…4430backed Braves | 79c | 1,264$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Cardinals | 57c | 1,054$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.89 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Cardinals | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cardinals | 59c | 836.89$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.13 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbccd…6aeebacked Cardinals | 63c | 811.11$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.11 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Braves | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Cardinals | 29c | 713.31$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.45 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Cardinals | 60c | 635$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Cardinals | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Cardinals | 54c | 598.2$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.17 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Braves | 39c | 499.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Cardinals | 20c | 399.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.99 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Cardinals | 58c | 350$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 920 | 50%460 W · 460 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Cardinals | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 667 | 48.7%325 W · 342 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Braves | 17c | 293.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Braves | 18c | 273.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Braves | 40c | 213$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.2 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Braves | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Cardinals | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cardinals | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cardinals | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cardinals | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Cardinals | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Cardinals | 59c | 154.19$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.22 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Braves | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Cardinals | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…9d12backed Braves | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb44…db74backed Braves | 79c | 146.97$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc6…949abacked Braves | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Braves | 42c | 141.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Braves | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…83abbacked Braves | 56c | 138.2$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.88 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Braves | 42c | 138.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Braves | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Cardinals | 10c | 134.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.65 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…fa1dbacked Braves | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Cardinals | 61c | 116.61$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.48 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c6…7624backed Braves | 41c | 115.34$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.29 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Braves | 48c | 110$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Braves | 39c | 108.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Braves | 40c | 104.93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.27 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Braves | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cardinals | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Braves | 40c | 96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2977…6efcbacked Braves | 25c | 93.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cardinals | 58c | 86.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Cardinals | 64c | 85.2$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc839…2930backed Braves | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…9f26backed Braves | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15c6…6ed6backed Braves | 65c | 74.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Braves | 21c | 66.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Cardinals | 53c | 63.85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Braves | 40c | 63.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d6…1733backed Braves | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…a4cdbacked Cardinals | 72c | 57.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Braves | 42c | 55.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Cardinals | 66c | 52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Braves | 57c | 50.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…c57dbacked Braves | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Braves | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…b038backed Cardinals | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87de…42bfbacked Braves | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +46%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Cardinals | 76c | 49.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Braves | 41c | 43.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,302 | 56.7%738 W · 564 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Braves | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Cardinals | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Cardinals | 75c | 40.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…c76dbacked Braves | 80c | 40.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Cardinals | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 195 | 66.2%129 W · 66 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Braves | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Braves | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cardinals | 60c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Braves | 54c | 37.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cardinals | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0864…b3d0backed Cardinals | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Cardinals | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4565…df3cbacked Braves | 79c | 34.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 78cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Braves | 40c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e05…44f8backed Braves | 78c | 27.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…e582backed Braves | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8834…d2febacked Braves | 56c | 26.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Braves | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Braves | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.