NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Clippers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fdd7e76922187e362e41bceb238b338d07dd736607efa1aeb2357312b40044a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Grizzlies, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Clippers | 65c | 7,299$4,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,717.84 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Grizzlies | 39c | 5,698$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,485.16 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Clippers | 64c | 2,500$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.99 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Clippers | 64c | 1,505$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Grizzlies | 37c | 1,082$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.7 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…bb74backed Grizzlies | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 44c | 958.19$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.61 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Grizzlies | 38c | 937.98$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.19 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4180…cf9cbacked Grizzlies | 36c | 898$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.77 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Grizzlies | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.33 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Clippers | 64c | 793$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.52 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Clippers | 66c | 756.5$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Clippers | 6c | 745.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Grizzlies | 38c | 657.97$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.94 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Grizzlies | 30c | 610.4$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.8 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Grizzlies | 36c | 601.71$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.99 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked Clippers | 63c | 555.38$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Clippers | 62c | 499.98$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.99 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Grizzlies | 39c | 455.81$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.82 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Grizzlies | 32c | 440.77$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.47 | 278 | 48.9%136 W · 142 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Clippers | 67c | 414.7$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.19 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Grizzlies | 37c | 403.23$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.23 | 149 | 24.8%37 W · 112 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Grizzlies | 36c | 350$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…1a34backed Grizzlies | 38c | 304$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Grizzlies | 33c | 303.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.67 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68bd…290fbacked Clippers | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +205.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Grizzlies | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies | 35c | 298$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.78 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca8…3e59backed Clippers | 56c | 296.49$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.67 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Grizzlies | 37c | 263.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.63 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…94e0backed Grizzlies | 42c | 263.95$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.29 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Grizzlies | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Grizzlies | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdd…0661backed Grizzlies | 42c | 255$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 38cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…8b1dbacked Clippers | 59c | 250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Clippers | 63c | 248.24$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.39 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Grizzlies | 39c | 223.08$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.08 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Clippers | 58c | 222$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.76 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Clippers | 62c | 206.4$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.97 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…8752backed Clippers | 61c | 205.38$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3118…05f0backed Grizzlies | 42c | 204.76$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Grizzlies | 39c | 200.43$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.15 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Clippers | 65c | 169.23$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 275 | 46.9%129 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Clippers | 64c | 162.86$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Clippers | 62c | 160.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Grizzlies | 33c | 154.67$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.63 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Clippers | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Clippers | 64c | 141.19$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Clippers | 75c | 134.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 177 | 69.5%123 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Clippers | 57c | 114.04$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 208 | 56.7%118 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Clippers | 45c | 112.53$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Grizzlies | 38c | 109.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Grizzlies | 36c | 108.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Clippers | 58c | 104$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.32 | 210 | 62.9%132 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Grizzlies | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Grizzlies | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Grizzlies | 32c | 84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.93 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Clippers | 57c | 78.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 51cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Grizzlies | 38c | 76.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Grizzlies | 37c | 76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…697ebacked Clippers | 72c | 73.03$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Grizzlies | 48c | 70.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87de…42bfbacked Grizzlies | 42c | 64.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…9790backed Clippers | 60c | 64.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdc…ae37backed Grizzlies | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Clippers | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Grizzlies | 37c | 53.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Grizzlies | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 48.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Grizzlies | 40c | 41.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Clippers | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Clippers | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Clippers | 62c | 33.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3820…d669backed Clippers | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…ba10backed Clippers | 45c | 25.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf15a…6df2backed Clippers | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fae…4084backed Clippers | 61c | 22.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b26…6900backed Clippers | 64c | 17.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd39c…8a14backed Clippers | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.