MLB · resolved market
Royals vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc399269e5b05f7a8407f870cc82b81fc0136a6e2137f0ace89e5346262f0175
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royalsof Royals, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd8a2…3b96backed Giants | 57c | 46,500$26,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,428.41 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Royals | 43c | 23,199$9,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,203.26 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Royals | 43c | 15,396$6,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,731.24 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Giants | 54c | 8,362$4,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,515.66 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Giants | 59c | 5,069$2,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,996.36 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…f549backed Royals | 45c | 4,748$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,596.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Royals | 48c | 4,150$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150.02 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Giants | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.92 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Giants | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17a9…5cb6backed Giants | 56c | 2,752$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Giants | 39c | 2,584$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.83 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Royals | 45c | 2,161$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.55 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Giants | 59c | 1,810$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.83 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc179…35e0backed Giants | 56c | 1,805$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Giants | 27c | 1,721$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Giants | 21c | 1,406$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.5 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Giants | 57c | 1,298$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.72 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Giants | 4c | 1,221$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Giants | 57c | 1,150$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Giants | 24c | 1,047$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8823…4c34backed Royals | 51c | 1,034$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Giants | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67db…bd86backed Royals | 78c | 1,000$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Royals | 44c | 997.72$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.72 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Giants | 54c | 986.72$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.97 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Giants | 63c | 916.65$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.32 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Royals | 45c | 757.98$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.89 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Royals | 77c | 724$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.56 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Giants | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Royals | 59c | 677.21$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.48 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Royals | 47c | 670.99$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.97 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…ec44backed Royals | 45c | 664.44$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.44 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Royals | 40c | 625$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Giants | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Royals | 42c | 494.83$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.01 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Royals | 69c | 480.71$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.71 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Royals | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Giants | 41c | 404.73$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.76 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Royals | 43c | 390.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.45 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants | 55c | 358.33$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.08 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1d…13e3backed Giants | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Giants | 16c | 346.05$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Royals | 66c | 342$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.59 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Royals | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…e547backed Giants | 56c | 312.5$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Giants | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Royals | 46c | 293.48$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.48 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Giants | 19c | 241.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.38 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Giants | 53c | 236.16$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.07 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…0646backed Giants | 32c | 217.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…0cf7backed Royals | 44c | 204.55$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Giants | 56c | 200$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Giants | 26c | 192.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…9236backed Royals | 48c | 188.33$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.33 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb544…7fdcbacked Royals | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…5d9abacked Giants | 56c | 179.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Giants | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Giants | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…d433backed Royals | 44c | 174.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Giants | 58c | 171.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda86…c759backed Royals | 44c | 170.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88f3…0625backed Giants | 56c | 169.64$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Royals | 44c | 167.29$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.68 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f5…bc52backed Giants | 55c | 163.63$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b7…83f5backed Royals | 45c | 156.04$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Giants | 15c | 153.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Giants | 41c | 132.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf169…7e97backed Giants | 55c | 132.73$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x925f…3ccabacked Giants | 55c | 129.09$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0022…66dabacked Giants | 55c | 114.55$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.41per pick | 56cpaid | -73%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…55e4backed Royals | 43c | 113.32$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.43 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe6…2d0cbacked Giants | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Giants | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Royals | 51c | 106.1$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c3…cbddbacked Royals | 45c | 100.11$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Giants | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed Giants | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -5.1wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…9b68backed Royals | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…059abacked Royals | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…9a99backed Giants | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…36a2backed Giants | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…d5ddbacked Giants | 55c | 96.36$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5883…8a2abacked Giants | 56c | 96.32$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Giants | 54c | 96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd5…c914backed Giants | 22c | 92.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…1aecbacked Giants | 56c | 90.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db1…2e23backed Royals | 45c | 90.76$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb20e…022bbacked Giants | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Giants | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Giants | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520d…fe4bbacked Royals | 45c | 88.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3c…72c9backed Giants | 56c | 83.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Giants | 55c | 80.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Royals | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Giants | 57c | 75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969b…7f79backed Royals | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 72cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Royals | 44c | 68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Giants | 59c | 67.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b61…85ccbacked Royals | 45c | 64.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x509c…e581backed Royals | 45c | 60.44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.