MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07ca9b6ab24c9c0ee46fbe6df9acfce44d28e898f17ff5416ce2d5d579749e69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Cubs, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $175,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd8a2…3b96backed Cubs | 60c | 44,890$26,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,982.57 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Marlins | 40c | 36,103$14,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,529 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 39c | 27,257$10,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,753.09 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Cubs | 58c | 20,381$11,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,460.14 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fb…84b5backed Cubs | 58c | 5,719$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,419.19 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 32c | 5,482$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771.17 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Cubs | 52c | 5,164$2,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,502.31 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Marlins | 38c | 4,378$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.55 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Marlins | 42c | 4,250$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.98 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Cubs | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.95 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Marlins | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Marlins | 32c | 2,085$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.09 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Cubs | 59c | 2,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 42c | 1,905$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Cubs | 57c | 1,499$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.62 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Marlins | 42c | 1,403$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.58 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Marlins | 30c | 1,205$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.74 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Marlins | 43c | 1,105$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.72 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Marlins | 44c | 1,090$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.49 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Marlins | 44c | 1,001$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.34 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Marlins | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Marlins | 40c | 977.68$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.35 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Cubs | 49c | 950.55$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.88 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Marlins | 44c | 895$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.8 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cubs | 56c | 740$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.6 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Marlins | 43c | 718.66$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.03 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Marlins | 43c | 671$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.53 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Marlins | 43c | 581.95$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.24 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Cubs | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Cubs | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Cubs | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Cubs | 53c | 356.32$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.03 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Marlins | 47c | 350.41$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.95 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Cubs | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Marlins | 19c | 305.34$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cubs | 57c | 299.99$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.99 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Cubs | 58c | 275.86$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.86 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Marlins | 48c | 272.25$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.88 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Marlins | 41c | 267.75$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.78 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989d…464cbacked Cubs | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Cubs | 58c | 241.38$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4286…6f78backed Marlins | 43c | 230.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Cubs | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83d…3324backed Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Cubs | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…5634backed Cubs | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Cubs | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cubs | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cubs | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Marlins | 27c | 168.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Marlins | 42c | 154$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5be…7286backed Cubs | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…3757backed Marlins | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Cubs | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Cubs | 56c | 113$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…9275backed Cubs | 57c | 109$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a39…e798backed Marlins | 43c | 109$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Marlins | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Cubs | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…9b68backed Cubs | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…3012backed Cubs | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb20e…022bbacked Cubs | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Cubs | 47c | 92.19$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.86 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Cubs | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Marlins | 40c | 83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…c4bdbacked Cubs | 57c | 75.44$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Marlins | 43c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…fcd9backed Marlins | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Marlins | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…c14abacked Cubs | 58c | 54.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc233…93a5backed Marlins | 44c | 54.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…b727backed Marlins | 43c | 53.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7beb…a8a3backed Cubs | 58c | 53.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Cubs | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…b3aebacked Cubs | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba2…cb54backed Marlins | 44c | 51.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Cubs | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…b560backed Cubs | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Marlins | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Marlins | 37c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf66…f7b5backed Marlins | 43c | 47.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Cubs | 57c | 45.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…fa2dbacked Marlins | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Cubs | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Cubs | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Marlins | 49c | 40.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Cubs | 57c | 38.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Cubs | 57c | 36.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a9…e358backed Cubs | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Cubs | 59c | 35.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cubs | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Cubs | 58c | 35.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1971…c2c4backed Cubs | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 63cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Cubs | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…87abbacked Cubs | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Cubs | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…c293backed Cubs | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Cubs | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Marlins | 44c | 26.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Cubs | 59c | 24.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.