TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Mariners vs. White Sox

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Marinersof Mariners, White Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,165
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,499

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,165 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb083…b3f0backed Mariners64c10,697$6,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,863.3860249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed White Sox35c8,912$3,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,162.971,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked White Sox36c8,142$2,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,931.1414048.6%68 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed White Sox37c6,000$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,219.9944456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5fb…84b5backed Mariners76c5,283$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.366157.4%35 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b7e…ce6dbacked Mariners64c5,185$3,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,866.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked White Sox45c4,739$2,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,133.711,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Mariners55c4,286$2,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,949.5386751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed White Sox32c3,702$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.919,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed White Sox30c3,470$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.222,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed White Sox6c3,291$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.1343250.7%219 W · 213 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa201…ab01backed White Sox36c1,500$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.56475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+41.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c6e…eea6backed Mariners66c1,500$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.97757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf75…7352backed White Sox35c1,300$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4551020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-61%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners63c1,115$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.492,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa3…072dbacked White Sox35c1,042$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3608347%39 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc91a…c6b8backed Mariners65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35010746.7%50 W · 57 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee27…3fa1backed White Sox36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked White Sox36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36037446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9dd…a1d9backed Mariners66c999.99$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3402445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bc1…4534backed White Sox34c977$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.183342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x15e0…8d86backed White Sox37c900.57$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.2111153.2%59 W · 52 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ed…2fefbacked Mariners65c700$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2451050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Mariners65c615.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.3888549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb1…eb96backed Mariners65c615.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.382650%13 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9eb…a6c9backed Mariners65c600$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2101338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed White Sox40c540.51$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.3768656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed White Sox2c496.12$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd386…1887backed Mariners65c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.5419233.3%64 W · 128 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed White Sox31c449.35$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.151,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe36e…a46cbacked Mariners65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Mariners64c396.68$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.815,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc239…286bbacked Mariners66c378.79$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.791450%7 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x790b…3b7bbacked White Sox36c330.77$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab67…0d78backed Mariners66c303.85$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.85560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mariners66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.032,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Mariners66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.032,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Mariners64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10813555.6%75 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Mariners67c298.84$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8438455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb358…e547backed Mariners63c277.78$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.785250%26 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb1d…13e3backed White Sox37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-34.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed White Sox35c257.24$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.861,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb46d…7093backed Mariners68c232.73$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.8412335%43 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked White Sox11c226$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.163942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5413backed Mariners64c201.39$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.52835.7%10 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Mariners63c200$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.672,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3def…08b4backed Mariners64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.253161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a34…56cfbacked Mariners64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2528053.9%151 W · 129 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb906…5d9abacked Mariners61c150$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.52458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1570…4c8bbacked White Sox35c149.43$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-34.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10f7…223bbacked White Sox34c137.82$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.86728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4828…2228backed White Sox34c137.74$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.83520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe001…c31cbacked White Sox35c129.71$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-73.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Mariners64c128.41$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2317754.8%97 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed White Sox20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked White Sox36c123.01$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2823753.2%126 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4d0…2d67backed White Sox36c110.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.68475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+57.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bb7…bf7cbacked Mariners65c106.22$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.18475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+40.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x193e…5f99backed Mariners66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe1d…c011backed White Sox36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3613848.6%67 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36da…aa79backed White Sox36c97.22$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+55%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Mariners63c96$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5251955.3%287 W · 232 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1d42…ed7abacked White Sox35c95.2$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed White Sox15c93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.951,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed White Sox21c91.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.084,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba1f…11c3backed White Sox24c90$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.61631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Mariners65c88.96$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.142,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b73…e92abacked White Sox36c88.11$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.72450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb103…3aa5backed Mariners65c84.09$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.43450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bb3…48b2backed White Sox36c83.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac8…8a4fbacked Mariners67c83.01$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x384b…d038backed White Sox36c80.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.95540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x78e8…6e0bbacked White Sox36c79.56$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.64540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41fd…3c0fbacked White Sox35c79.09$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6840%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x25d7…14fbbacked Mariners67c77$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.41666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd065…93e8backed Mariners65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.924259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+29.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Mariners65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9294455.3%522 W · 422 L-2.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cdd…3b42backed Mariners67c75.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.08540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb65f…9589backed Mariners67c75.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.85475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+44%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked White Sox38c75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.565549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbefd…0867backed Mariners67c72.28$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.85683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+52.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8047…c804backed Mariners65c70.4$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.64540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b36…17e5backed Mariners67c70.34$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.21666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb49…9858backed White Sox36c70$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ada…e5a8backed Mariners66c69.94$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.78450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47f…d5d0backed White Sox36c68.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.66560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+33.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe010…387fbacked Mariners67c68.16$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.49475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+68.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49fa…e998backed Mariners65c67.83$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.74425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x471a…0e67backed Mariners65c67.74$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.71560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1eb…1acebacked Mariners67c66.88$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.07560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa075…7d2bbacked Mariners65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.543281.3%26 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick71cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x66c2…4c77backed Mariners67c60.36$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.92633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-37.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f19…72d9backed White Sox35c59.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2141649%204 W · 212 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbf9…e408backed White Sox35c56.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x352c…eb6cbacked White Sox35c56.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.65560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+34.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeac7…fec6backed Mariners64c56$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.169150.5%46 W · 45 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed White Sox34c54.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7633349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a1c…9325backed Mariners67c53.18$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.55785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick60cpaid+49%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdede…149ebacked Mariners65c51.08$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.88633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-49.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb579…f458backed White Sox35c48.37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1735551.5%183 W · 172 L+24.5wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.