MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddcbb2b9618d11c682370b9be1dde91bc829bf5211e0d40009d7d91ab9d6b52c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Orioles, Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $240,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $285,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Brewers | 36c | 44,616$16,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,016.59 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…3b96backed Orioles | 69c | 32,821$22,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,120.56 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef9…65c9backed Orioles | 46c | 30,400$13,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,416 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58e…683abacked Brewers | 54c | 30,400$16,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,416 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Brewers | 50c | 25,251$12,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,703.84 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Brewers | 40c | 19,659$7,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,869.17 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Orioles | 49c | 13,233$6,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,794.66 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Orioles | 50c | 10,925$5,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,462.41 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Orioles | 49c | 6,568$3,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,355.28 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Orioles | 50c | 6,427$3,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,213.74 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Orioles | 61c | 6,255$3,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,442.75 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Brewers | 36c | 4,748$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.05 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Orioles | 51c | 3,899$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.1 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Orioles | 46c | 3,742$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.89 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Brewers | 29c | 3,570$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.69 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Brewers | 47c | 3,450$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.7 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5413backed Brewers | 28c | 2,699$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.09 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Brewers | 54c | 2,000$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Brewers | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.97 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Brewers | 45c | 1,708$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.16 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Brewers | 17c | 1,565$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.12 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Brewers | 29c | 1,479$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.54 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Brewers | 52c | 1,478$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.66 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa593…4ac5backed Brewers | 55c | 1,400$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…7cdbbacked Orioles | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Brewers | 14c | 1,094$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.02 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Orioles | 47c | 1,038$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.68 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Brewers | 1c | 1,026$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Orioles | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Brewers | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles | 48c | 989.32$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.72 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa06b…b36ebacked Orioles | 45c | 900$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Brewers | 43c | 899.73$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.25 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Brewers | 4c | 863.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Brewers | 35c | 829.61$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.47 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Brewers | 48c | 777.29$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.13 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Brewers | 54c | 749.98$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.99 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…3bcabacked Orioles | 79c | 740.11$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.87 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x078c…a68abacked Brewers | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Orioles | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Brewers | 34c | 585.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Brewers | 54c | 559.98$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.39 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Brewers | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Orioles | 47c | 544.83$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.86 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Brewers | 31c | 530.21$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.09 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Orioles | 45c | 503.55$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.95 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Orioles | 44c | 476.51$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.85 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Orioles | 57c | 472.78$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.04 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Brewers | 53c | 471$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.63 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Brewers | 51c | 450$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.5 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Orioles | 48c | 413.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.27 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…638fbacked Brewers | 45c | 390.58$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Brewers | 35c | 343.69$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989d…464cbacked Brewers | 56c | 269.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Brewers | 38c | 263.34$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.43 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Brewers | 46c | 257.19$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.35 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4286…6f78backed Orioles | 47c | 245.36$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.36 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3539…b17bbacked Brewers | 12c | 222.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Brewers | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a4…8cfdbacked Orioles | 65c | 220.37$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Orioles | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Orioles | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Orioles | 64c | 172.14$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.96 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9938…c7e8backed Orioles | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Orioles | 49c | 132$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.32 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Orioles | 62c | 111.27$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.28 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Orioles | 59c | 110.17$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.17 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x120c…89d4backed Brewers | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe5…70eabacked Brewers | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Orioles | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Orioles | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Brewers | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Brewers | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c7…6e5fbacked Brewers | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba1f…11c3backed Brewers | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Orioles | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…9b68backed Brewers | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Brewers | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…0848backed Brewers | 54c | 96.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef5…6014backed Orioles | 59c | 91.71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Brewers | 51c | 85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Brewers | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Orioles | 46c | 81.82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Brewers | 53c | 75.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Brewers | 26c | 75.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10c0…ce55backed Brewers | 79c | 75.22$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.42 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…27c9backed Orioles | 45c | 74.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe300…f71abacked Brewers | 54c | 74.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Brewers | 54c | 74.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Orioles | 63c | 73.52$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Orioles | 50c | 70.83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9598…1fd2backed Brewers | 54c | 61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Orioles | 45c | 59.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…cea7backed Brewers | 49c | 59.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Brewers | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8086…22b7backed Brewers | 53c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Orioles | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Brewers | 36c | 50.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Orioles | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc674…5e6bbacked Orioles | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.