MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79b8485fe6f51e31e34bf9f070f74f27a07c0df438b96cc4db6c231576c4263a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Padres, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,940
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,940 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d89…25cdbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 28,800$16,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,808 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8055…8931backed Padres | 41c | 28,800$11,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,808 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Padres | 42c | 20,121$8,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,450.84 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Blue Jays | 60c | 15,500$9,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,263.16 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Padres | 40c | 10,426$4,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,174.59 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 9,397$5,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,946.8 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 61c | 2,534$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.4 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…1f16backed Blue Jays | 60c | 2,470$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Padres | 4c | 2,325$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.25 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1d…13e3backed Padres | 41c | 2,195$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 2,103$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.93 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Padres | 14c | 1,700$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Blue Jays | 60c | 1,575$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.63 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9598…1fd2backed Blue Jays | 60c | 1,514$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.6 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8086…22b7backed Padres | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b36…fd74backed Blue Jays | 61c | 1,370$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.1 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Padres | 40c | 1,328$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.94 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9938…c7e8backed Padres | 38c | 1,305$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Blue Jays | 80c | 1,282$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.68 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 1,155$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.94 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Padres | 13c | 1,094$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Padres | 39c | 1,090$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.13 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Padres | 1c | 958.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Padres | 40c | 904.86$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.64 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…9ad0backed Blue Jays | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Padres | 42c | 719.96$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.38 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Padres | 43c | 697.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Padres | 2c | 654$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Padres | 40c | 555.99$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.4 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Padres | 37c | 545.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Blue Jays | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 482.76$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.76 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 449.55$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.72 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Blue Jays | 61c | 350$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.92 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Blue Jays | 77c | 340.96$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.46 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Blue Jays | 66c | 300$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.66 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Blue Jays | 58c | 260$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4887…179dbacked Padres | 43c | 258.79$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.28 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Padres | 36c | 240.61$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.62 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Padres | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Blue Jays | 56c | 230.35$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.35 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Blue Jays | 58c | 224$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 216.37$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.88 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Padres | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…c417backed Blue Jays | 52c | 210$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…f8edbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 176.14$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Padres | 40c | 175$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Padres | 42c | 168.38$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.72 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a7…e1f9backed Padres | 40c | 130$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Padres | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…36a2backed Blue Jays | 61c | 125$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…9236backed Padres | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Padres | 40c | 120.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 38c | 111.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Padres | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a3…6ed8backed Padres | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Padres | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Padres | 40c | 97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Blue Jays | 60c | 88.33$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Padres | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Padres | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Padres | 35c | 66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Padres | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…9026backed Padres | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Padres | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 152 | 56.6%86 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Padres | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Blue Jays | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Padres | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Padres | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…98acbacked Padres | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a36…1fbebacked Padres | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e0…c910backed Padres | 42c | 49.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Blue Jays | 57c | 46.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…87abbacked Padres | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Padres | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Padres | 44c | 44.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf211…01eabacked Blue Jays | 60c | 43.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Padres | 41c | 43.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Padres | 42c | 38.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Padres | 42c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Padres | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…8707backed Padres | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2079…7c89backed Padres | 41c | 34.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbc…5d23backed Blue Jays | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Padres | 39c | 34.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf759…e295backed Padres | 43c | 33.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…23f5backed Padres | 43c | 33.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1971…c2c4backed Blue Jays | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 63cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…cad9backed Padres | 43c | 32.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd3…653bbacked Padres | 43c | 31.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecd…8ee4backed Padres | 42c | 26.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb53…e235backed Padres | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe805…4d2abacked Blue Jays | 58c | 25.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb254…8935backed Padres | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc811…a5b9backed Padres | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2be…f489backed Blue Jays | 60c | 24.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -5.1wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9a…a73dbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 23.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +4.6wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefa6…4da4backed Blue Jays | 61c | 22.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.