MLB · resolved market
Mets vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cb2ceea234b5983a21b51186d52aede1f85e242a519123508ea18ac53a561c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metsof Mets, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa320…8232backed Red Sox | 59c | 9,392$5,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,517.64 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox | 27c | 8,024$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205.12 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Mets | 51c | 7,376$3,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,580.76 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Mets | 44c | 5,483$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,072.39 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Red Sox | 48c | 5,000$2,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,390 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…c417backed Red Sox | 50c | 4,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…626cbacked Red Sox | 40c | 3,799$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Red Sox | 20c | 3,113$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.55 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox | 56c | 2,889$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.3 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Mets | 42c | 2,478$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.38 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mets | 41c | 2,474$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.61 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Mets | 43c | 2,293$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.02 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Red Sox | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Red Sox | 57c | 1,742$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Mets | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.18 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Red Sox | 6c | 1,558$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9598…1fd2backed Red Sox | 56c | 1,506$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.36 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Mets | 63c | 1,500$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.27 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8086…22b7backed Mets | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.99 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Sox | 41c | 1,337$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.71 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox | 26c | 1,243$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.64 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Mets | 64c | 1,203$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.28 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed Red Sox | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Red Sox | 56c | 980.63$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.15 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Mets | 42c | 974.95$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.47 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Mets | 60c | 837.46$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.98 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Mets | 44c | 804.9$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.91 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…3b96backed Mets | 56c | 785.59$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.51 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Red Sox | 59c | 773.54$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.39 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Mets | 43c | 700$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mets | 62c | 638$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.73 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Red Sox | 55c | 599.98$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…6cbfbacked Red Sox | 60c | 570.02$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Mets | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Mets | 41c | 499.99$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Mets | 62c | 484.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.19 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Red Sox | 56c | 446$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.76 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Mets | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c96…abc5backed Red Sox | 10c | 419.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ca…f4c7backed Mets | 63c | 362.84$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Red Sox | 39c | 345$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.85 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Red Sox | 56c | 342.86$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…537cbacked Red Sox | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Red Sox | 58c | 275.86$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Red Sox | 61c | 250$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Sox | 57c | 248.33$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.55 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Mets | 79c | 247$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Red Sox | 57c | 232$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.24 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Mets | 43c | 204.65$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.65 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Red Sox | 7c | 199.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Red Sox | 31c | 184.12$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.29 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Sox | 57c | 174.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Sox | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Red Sox | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…0d0dbacked Red Sox | 58c | 171.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Red Sox | 58c | 171.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Mets | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…96e4backed Red Sox | 25c | 161.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…cea7backed Mets | 59c | 161.02$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.02 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Red Sox | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Mets | 42c | 147.48$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.82 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a0…2569backed Mets | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Red Sox | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x338e…42cbbacked Red Sox | 54c | 123.11$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.01 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4197…019dbacked Mets | 43c | 118.6$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Red Sox | 55c | 118$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Red Sox | 55c | 112.22$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.72 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mets | 41c | 111.74$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.93 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d47…30aabacked Red Sox | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec28…5413backed Red Sox | 35c | 101.34$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Mets | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Mets | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Red Sox | 43c | 98.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…3585backed Mets | 51c | 98.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.08 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…9801backed Mets | 43c | 94.51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.87 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…4b3ebacked Red Sox | 53c | 94.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Mets | 43c | 91.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.59 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…9236backed Mets | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Red Sox | 48c | 85.52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Red Sox | 58c | 85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Mets | 44c | 74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Mets | 62c | 73.53$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…55e4backed Mets | 44c | 70$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Mets | 38c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40a3…6ed8backed Red Sox | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Red Sox | 43c | 68.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mets | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…7d49backed Red Sox | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b8…e72dbacked Mets | 45c | 62.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.33per pick | 44cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5c…09f6backed Red Sox | 58c | 58.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Red Sox | 59c | 55.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Mets | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mets | 63c | 50.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Red Sox | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Red Sox | 58c | 47.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Mets | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 152 | 56.6%86 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x575e…5b86backed Red Sox | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Red Sox | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Red Sox | 56c | 35.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Red Sox | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.